SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
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« on: August 08, 2017, 06:35:41 AM » |
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« edited: August 08, 2017, 06:37:22 AM by mathstatman »
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I realize 1976 is a popular choice, but I'm going to go with 1988.
Ironically, both elections were rather polarized, in terms of party identification and voting.
1976 is of course notable for its (from today's perspective) bizarre regional voting patters, but 1988 actually had less state-to-state variation: in 1988, every state gave Bush between 44% (RI) and 66% (UT) of the vote-- perhaps the smallest difference for any major candidate ever. Even DC (14.3%) trended and swung R in '88.
Both years, it was hard to find counties or urban districts (except Black areas), or subgroups of the population, in which "almost everyone voted for ....." (and even the Black areas were a bit less Dem these years than in other years).
The level (quality) of discussion in 1988 was also much lower than in 1976. But what takes the cake for 1988 is that, after that election, the GOP thought they had a "lock" on the EC (and probably on the PV as well): since then, the GOP has only won a plurality in 1 of 7 elections. The fact that CA went for Bush in '88, alone, drives it up several points for irrelevancy.
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