NY-09, Special Election Thread

[Wonkish1]

Now again this could be from the fact that I don't know NY politics the best, but traditionally tiny precincts are usually border precincts where a town is 80%+ outside of the district and 20%- inside the district.

If that is the case I look to Oakland Gardens or Richmond Hills both areas that should perform better than 50% with Dems, but again small sample size.

[Sam Spade]

NY1's coverage of this one sucks.  Does anyone on these programs pay attention to details?

[J. J.]

12 in Turner 55%.

[Marston]

13 precincts in (all Queens) 51-48 Turner

[Tender Branson]

NV-02 isn't counting much faster in case you wanna know ...

Half an hour now the polls are closed and they haven't even counted the early vote yet.

[Wonkish1]

Bayside Hills could also produce a few small precincts which should be Dem territory

As well as the eastern side of Bushwick which should be swing territory.

[Marston]

15 precincts and the politician that looks like a 70's porn star takes the lead!

[J. J.]

15 in Weprin at 50%.

[Torie]

13 precincts in (all Queens) 51-48 Turner

Isn't the third of the CD in Brooklyn more Pubbie than the Queens portion in general?

[cinyc]

15 precincts and the politician that looks like a 70's porn star takes the lead!

Too early to tell, but if all Weprin can do is break even in Queens, the Brooklyn part of the district will sink him.  It is much more Republican-friendly than the Queens part.

[Sam Spade]

This one and two precincts at a time thing is highly annoying.

[Talleyrand]

Turner is up 53-47 now with 18 reporting.

[Marston]

13 precincts in (all Queens) 51-48 Turner

Isn't the third of the CD in Brooklyn more Pubbie than the Queens portion in general?

Relatively speaking, yes, that is correct.

[Psychic Octopus]

Turner back in the lead, 53-47, with 18 precincts reporting.

[Sam Spade]

15 precincts and the politician that looks like a 70's porn star takes the lead!

Too early to tell, but if all Weprin can do is break even in Queens, the Brooklyn part of the district will sink him.  It is much more Republican-friendly than the Queens part.

Yep.  Weprin has to get his margin from Queens.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

26 precincts in, Weprin leads 50-49-1

[Wonkish1]

Call me crazy, but if you sit and stare at the map it would appear that more small precincts should come from the Dem territory in the east then the slight GOP territory in the south or the swing territory in the west of queens.

[J. J.]

15 precincts and the politician that looks like a 70's porn star takes the lead!

Too early to tell, but if all Weprin can do is break even in Queens, the Brooklyn part of the district will sink him.  It is much more Republican-friendly than the Queens part.

Yep.  Weprin has to get his margin from Queens.

Weprin down 49/50, with 4 districts in Brooklyn.  He's losing those 35/65.

[Marston]

Reports starting to finally pick up. 40 precincts in. Weprin is getting smashed in Brooklyn 65-35 and loosing slightly 51-49, overall.

[redcommander]

What website is everyone getting results from?

[Psychic Octopus]

Turner up 52-47 overall, and leading in Queens 51-48.

["'Oeps!' De blunders van Rick Perry Indicted"]

What website is everyone getting results from?

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/NY_US_House_0913.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[Talleyrand]

I project that Turner will win by a clear margin. Apparently the votes which haven't come in yet trend heavily his way.

[redcommander]

What website is everyone getting results from?

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/NY_US_House_0913.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

Thank you.

[Wonkish1]

I project that Turner will win by a clear margin. Apparently the votes which haven't come in yet trend heavily his way.

Which county are you referring to??

Queens...wow!!
Brooklyn...Duh!

Hence why I'm skeptical of that notion.