aaroncd107
Jr. Member
Posts: 307
Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -8.00
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« on: August 31, 2018, 08:47:39 PM » |
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Safe D (38): HI, CA, WA, MN-1, MI, VA, PA, NY, MD, DE, MA, VT, CT, RI, ME, 23 not up
Likely D (5): NM, MN-2, WI, OH, NJ
Lean D (4): NV, MT, AZ, WV
Tilt D (0):
Tossup (3): MO, TN, FL
Tilt R (3): TX, IN, ND
Lean R (0):
Likely R (1): MS-2
Safe R (46): UT, WY, NE, MS-1, 42 not up
47 at least lean to both parties, and the Republicans have a clear advantage in the 6 hyper competitive states. IN, ND, MO are my big wild cards at the moment due to a lack of polling, and could end up leaning either way by election day.
NJ and NM could be scarily competitive by Election Day of Bob Hugin and Gary Johnson play their cards right. AZ is also on the brink of moving to the right. On the other hand, i'm close to moving WV, OH, and WI one category left.
Texas is the race of the cycle.
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