ND: SRA Research- Cramer +10 (user search)
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  ND: SRA Research- Cramer +10 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ND: SRA Research- Cramer +10  (Read 6686 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,794


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« on: October 01, 2018, 07:57:54 PM »

Worth noting that ND had the highest Kavanaugh support of any Dem-incumbent Senate state (albeit a month ago).

Also worth mentioning that ND has changed demographically probably more than any other state since 2012.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,794


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2018, 11:29:38 PM »

ND is pretty solidly more to the right than Montana.

Heitkamp isn’t going to do 15-17 points worse than Tester, lol. Most likely this poll is inflating Cramer's lead. Cramer +4/5 and Tester +3/4 sounds more believable.

Probably, but MT was 16 points to the left of ND in 2016.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,794


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2018, 09:01:30 AM »

It’s amazing how much we are going nuts over this poll that doesn’t have a memo, any crosstabs, or even dates! All we know is that this poll was conducted in September, but that could be up to four weeks old!

This happens sometimes for TV station-commissioned polls.
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