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May 28, 2024, 10:20:04 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 10:19:08 PM 
Started by I spent the winter writing songs about getting better - Last post by T'Chenka
No, but it should be.

 2 
 on: Today at 10:19:05 PM 
Started by President Punxsutawney Phil - Last post by Hindsight was 2020
Massive FF

 3 
 on: Today at 10:18:54 PM 
Started by WV222 - Last post by Benjamin Frank 2.0
Irrespective of the verdict, would it be fair to conclude at this point that the elitist pearl clutchers in the media and the legal profession who said this was a weak case based on a 'novel legal argument' were wrong?

I don’t feel like my concerns about the legal argument were really addressed at the trial much at all.

That was up to the defense. I don't really care, the law is written to favor the wealthy and powerful elites, so when prosecutors find ways to hold them accountable in the same way that the non elites are held accountable, I think that's a good thing.

 4 
 on: Today at 10:18:18 PM 
Started by Minnesota Mike - Last post by Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins
There appears to be an error in the AP/NYT count for Maverick County in TX-23. They have Gonzalez up 115-0. 

Now they've changed it to a 1-0 Gonzalez lead with only 1% of that vote reporting.

With just a 600 vote difference this still feels too close to call.

Decision Desk has Maverick County at 335 Gonzalez vs 257 Herrera with 90% reporting

 5 
 on: Today at 10:17:37 PM 
Started by jojoju1998 - Last post by Hindsight was 2020

As with just about all partisan "double standard" accusations you could say the same thing in reverse. The people who thought it was "great for athletes to be bigger than their sport and speak out on issues they're passionate about" seem to like that a lot less when socially conservative Catholics do it.


"Muh both sides. Of course da libs are whining about telling women they should stay in the kitchen and Pride Month is evil, those are roughly equivalent to opposing police brutality in my eyes"

You're not really disagreeing with me. You like players speaking out when they agree with you, but not when they disagree with you which is the same position you're criticizing conservatives for having. The "free speech" defenses of Kaepernick weren't really why they supported him, it was just because they agreed with him.

Also not really sure where he told women to "stay in the kitchen" he just said being a parent was important, which wouldn't have been remotely noteworthy or controversial if he said it about men. This whole thing is a nothingburger, was expecting it to be so much worse when I looked at what he said based on the reaction to it. If anything the reaction proves that it needed to be said.
Weird how that comment about how important being a parent over having a job is was exclusively targeted for the women in the crowd

 6 
 on: Today at 10:17:33 PM 
Started by Minnesota Mike - Last post by Tekken_Guy
There appears to be an error in the AP/NYT count for Maverick County in TX-23. They have Gonzalez up 115-0. 

Now they've changed it to a 1-0 Gonzalez lead with only 1% of that vote reporting.

With just a 600 vote difference this still feels too close to call.

It's not. I don't see any path to victory for Herrera at the moment. He has to win what's out by like 30 points which is not feasible with a good chuck of what's out being Bexar.

His only chance is a county having underreported the number of ballots left to count, which is famously what saved Lauren Boebert in 2022 after it was prematurely called for her opponent.

 7 
 on: Today at 10:14:36 PM 
Started by Јas - Last post by ObserverIE
Yeah I would be an Alliance voter in Northern Ireland and for the idea that there's any circumstances whatsoever in which I'd vote Sinn Fein....LOL!

The reality is that if you were in Northern Ireland you'd be a TUV voter given that George Searight is sadly no longer available.
I would never vote for a pro-Brexit party.
The intersection of the Venn diagram between the sets "pro-Brexit" and "rabidly anti-Catholic" is an empty set. You have to go with one or the other.

You mean pro-Remain/EU. Pro-Leave/Brexit and anti-Catholic is the default unionist position.
My bad.

 8 
 on: Today at 10:14:17 PM 
Started by quesaisje - Last post by Kamala's side hoe
With social trust seeming to be at a low in recent years, I wonder how much of that might be warped by more extremely vocal low trust people getting a social media microphone vs more people going from high trust to low trust. I feel like the low trust crowd might’ve gotten louder and more entrenched but not necessarily larger.

The background trend is higher trust to lower trust, but it'd be difficult to measure how eligible voters are shifting within the electorate without longitudinal studies on social trust. Wouldn't surprise me if both the lowest and highest social trust crowd are especially vocal online.

 9 
 on: Today at 10:13:56 PM 
Started by wnwnwn - Last post by Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
James has incumbency and presidential turnout this time, making him favored.

Andy Levin really should have ran here in 2022. He probably would have won.

AIPAC went hard against Levin in 2022 (over 600,000). It probably would neutralize his incumbency.

 10 
 on: Today at 10:12:28 PM 
Started by MR DARK BRANDON - Last post by kwabbit
Has a Republican ever won NE2 by more than he won the state as a whole?

Historically, the GOP did better in NE-02 than statewide in the 1982, 1990, and 1998 Gubernatorial elections. In 1990 they won NE-02 while losing the state and in 1998 won NE-02 by more than the statewide margin. In the 1996 Senate race it could also be the case.

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