IL-14 implications (user search)
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Author Topic: IL-14 implications  (Read 1901 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: March 08, 2008, 11:30:50 PM »

I'm harboring no delusions that this is going to create a massive wave of endorsements for Obama.  But this could be seen as a sign that Obama would be helpful to downticket races in GOP leaning districts and that is something superdelegates will probably be considering when they vote.

Maybe, but first you need to be able to convince those superdelegates that there was *actually* cause and effect.

I think at least some will see it that way. Obama did star in an ad for Foster. This might be worth 3-5 House endorsements and maybe a DNC member or two.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: March 08, 2008, 11:44:51 PM »

I think this could probably push DCCC chair Chris Van Hollen into the Obama camp.  Obama also carried his Maryland district handily.  I would also look for some other freshmen Dems like possibly Harry Mitchell and Jerry McNerney who are in tough races to go to Obama. 

Harry Mitchell has the tough proposition of being in Arizona this cycle all by itself. McNerney, though... very good chance.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: March 08, 2008, 11:55:11 PM »

I think this could probably push DCCC chair Chris Van Hollen into the Obama camp.  Obama also carried his Maryland district handily.  I would also look for some other freshmen Dems like possibly Harry Mitchell and Jerry McNerney who are in tough races to go to Obama. 

Harry Mitchell has the tough proposition of being in Arizona this cycle all by itself. McNerney, though... very good chance.
Mitchell will face a tough reelection battles, but he's not in imminent danger of defeat. Never forget that Mitchell is a demigod in Tempe; after he retired as mayor, the city built a statue in his honor.

The GOP field against Mitchell is also quite diffuse and weak, IIRC.

Oh, I don't think so, but he may not want to be tied too closely to anyone opposing McCain nonetheless.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #3 on: March 08, 2008, 11:58:21 PM »

I think this could probably push DCCC chair Chris Van Hollen into the Obama camp.  Obama also carried his Maryland district handily.  I would also look for some other freshmen Dems like possibly Harry Mitchell and Jerry McNerney who are in tough races to go to Obama. 

Harry Mitchell has the tough proposition of being in Arizona this cycle all by itself. McNerney, though... very good chance.
Mitchell will face a tough reelection battles, but he's not in imminent danger of defeat. Never forget that Mitchell is a demigod in Tempe; after he retired as mayor, the city built a statue in his honor.

The GOP field against Mitchell is also quite diffuse and weak, IIRC.

Oh, I don't think so, but he may not want to be tied too closely to anyone opposing McCain nonetheless.

McCain isn't really that popular in Arizona now. Napolitano is more popular in fact and polls showed she would beat him in a head to head race.

I don't contest that... now. People will get excited about the home candidate. They always do, provided ideologically they fit well.
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