MD Senate (PPP): Alsobrooks 46 - Hogan 37; Trone 47 - Hogan 37

[Minnesota Mike]

https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/24654802/md-sen-ppp-for-emilys-list-may-2024.pdf

Alsobrooks 46
Hogan 37

Trone 47
Hogan 37

For EMILYs list.  No Primary numbers.

[SnowLabrador]

D internal. That being said, Democrats may indeed be coming home.

[Minnesota Mike]

EMILYs list is supporting Alsobrooks. They are trying to show that Trone does not have an electability advantage. They also have Biden up 60-32 over Trump and a generic D senate candidate up 54-33 over a generic R. Honestly the margins feel like what I expect in November but right now they differ wildly from other public polling.

[TML]

This is evidence that Hogan is on track to becoming Linda Lingle 2.0.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

This poll is a wild outlier and was likely designed to send a message - and not one about the general election. I say this as someone who thinks Hogan has a less than 10% chance of ultimately winning - throw it in the trash.

[henster]

That they excluded primary #'s tells me Trone looks pretty secure here.

[kwabbit]

This is evidence that Hogan is on track to becoming Linda Lingle 2.0.

Hogan's very likely to lose, but one should not expect any substantial shifts in the race until late summer at the earliest. In the past in races like this, things are essentially static until after labor day. Then partisanship takes over and things shift rapidly.

This poll should not tell you that Alsobrooks or Trone is gaining on Hogan, it should tell you that maybe Hogan's initial lead is smaller. Or it could tell you nothing, since PPP has been caught fabricating results in the past and, although they have a cleaner recent track record, are definitely the type of firm to put their thumb on the scale in any way their sponsor likes.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hogan won't win

[Progressive Pessimist]

Finally a reasonable poll that reflects how Hogan will actually do.

[Agafin]

What's the point of making a general election poll without just going ahead and doing a primary poll too? Especially since the later is much more imminent and potentially competitive? This is dumb.

[wbrocks67]

This poll is a wild outlier and was likely designed to send a message - and not one about the general election. I say this as someone who thinks Hogan has a less than 10% chance of ultimately winning - throw it in the trash.

That they excluded primary #'s tells me Trone looks pretty secure here.

These did not age well given the Emerson poll out today lol (though Emerson will Emerson)