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lol i just found out that a daughter of Nixon married a grandson of Eisenhower when trying to figure out the answer to the question

[Hobbs, Kelly, Gallego]

John Fetterman is not an FF. No-strings-attached money to a foreign government that is, at best, neutral to American interests at the moment, is not a mainstream Democratic opinion. Most Democrats (like myself) wish for restraint in Gaza even if they agree with the overall military mission and are critical of the current far-right leadership. He is also incredibly dismissive of his constituents and their concerns on a variety of topics. His wife is going to leave him soon because of the pro-Bibi extremism.

My selection will be Arizona when Pixie Cut Manchin is gone, Qari gets sent to the shadow realm in November and it's Hobbs, Kelly, Gallego.

He says stuff like this so automatic HP.

If Trump wins and does a good job in his second term then I will gladly support him if he wants a third term. There might be a way around the 22nd Amendment by nominating a puppet Republican nominee and putting Trump in as VP and market the ticket as Trump's 3rd term. Then if they win, the President resigns, and Trump takes power. This would likely have to go to court because the 22nd Amendment talks about being "elected" specifically but not necessarily the office itself.  

If Biden wins:

Polling was a mess, his win is fueled by a Georgia victory of around 50,000 votes despite talk of a 6% Trump blowout. Trends prevailed and Biden's map had an almost 1 to 1 correlation with Warnock's 2022 regular election numbers. In MI, PA- Biden's numbers around Grand Rapids, Harrisburg gave him a cushion that offset any leftist defections around Philly, Detroit. Trump turnout fell among WWC, dealing a fatal blow in the midwest.

If Trump wins:

-Biden overreliant on the midwest and polls are accurate with a 1-2% Trump win. Biden believes the polls and triages GA only to come within 8,000 votes when all is said and done.

The one poll of Harrisburg had Trump up by 7, Perry up by 2 in PA10, improving from Trump +4. I think if Biden makes gains anywhere, it will be due to WWC turnout falling off.

BIG GOVT COMMUNISM has arrived in NC!

Arrived? We've had it for at least eight years.

To me, it also adds credence to the argument that corporations have much more control over prices than they let on or that the public realizes.

I mean yeah, you're right but not in the way that you think.

They have the power to lower prices when they realize that they're too high and aren't selling enough to make a profit.

The price of a product is whatever someone is willing to pay (contingent on there not being supply shortages or monopolies, etc.)

If they sell their TVs for $1, they'll be at a net loss since TVs cost more than $1 to make.

If they sell their TVs for $4,000, they'll again, be at a net loss, because that's way too high for 99% of people, and even the ones they do sell won't be enough to make up for the costs.

The businesses need to find the price that results in them making the most amount of money possible. Finding this number is literally some people's entire job.

Target has evidently discovered that they number they were previously setting were too high. So they lowered them.

Maybe some supply chain issues are working themselves out now. I was surprised at how many "new low price" signs I was at WFM today. The prices of pretty much everything I bought had a sign touting the lower price. Definitely noticed egg prices have come down too.

This really pisses me off.

why?

Because Netenyahu should be arrested by the ICC.

No , the ICC is a useless organization that would greatly undermine our foreign policy as a whole . Literally every president since WW2 would be charged by the ICC if we recognized their authority so no doing so would be disastrous for our own interests.

Yeah, if this ends up destroying the ICC then so much the better.  I’ve never liked it, even before this.  It’s a joke of an organization that shouldn’t have any authority imo.

How would you propose handling and trying the likes of people like Ratko Mladić, Ante Gotovina, and Elizaphan Ntakirutimana?

They'd rather the we give them $14 billion in military aid.

So called "liberals" in here defending Bibi when he is the reason Hamas has power. He loves them and they love him. They are symbiotic allies.

Send 'em all to the Hague.

Criminal how Bibi has convinced a huge segment of the American public that criticism of him and his crimes is criticism of the idea and existence of Israel. Sure, not everyone believes that, but the people in this thread losing their minds over the ICC recommendation certainly fall into that camp.

Trump gets 58 % of Florida Hispanics and Rick Scott is even higher winning 2 out of 3 FL Hispanics.
If this is true it suggests that DeSantis winning Puerto Ricans in 2022 wasn't a one-off.

Rep. Darren Soto & Rep. Jared Moskowitz clinging to dear life with these sort of Numbers.

If that's true, i don't believe for a second Trump will only by 9 points.

He gets as much as DeSantis.

And the whole bottomline so far is Trump also making inroads with AA voters.

Rubio won only 55% of Hispanics. And Trump here would take 58% and we aren't even talking about people who say they would favour an independent over Biden (or are undecided atm).

Trump winning 58% of Hispanics basically suggests a +15 win at least, possibly +20. Unless other demographics groups dramatically shift in favour of Biden, which might relative to the 2022 elections be true. But given Biden is struggling with urban demographics, such as Afro American voters, young voters. And given the panhandle also rural AA's, than Florida might actually back Trump stronger than thought on election day.

Which ironically would be a continuation of the trend set in 2016 and 2020 (and also 2018 + 2022).

With numbers like that, Palm Beach County would be in play.

Well, the CBS YouGov Poll has Trump only up 52-47 among Hispanics over Biden. That though is still a 10-Point Shift from the 2020 Exit Polls in FL when Biden won Hispanics over Trump 52-47.

That would make more sense and would align more with a +9 victory.

The most interesting plot among Latinos I am looking at is whether Trump wins a Democratic-leaning constituency, PUERTO RICANS. They have generally back Democrats over the last 15 years or so but they did go for DeSantis & Rubio in 2022. They were pretty mad at Trump in 2020 for his handling of Hurricane Maria. Biden got 72 % of the Puerto Rican Hispanics in 2020. Meanwhile DeSantis won 56 % of Puerto Ricans in 2022 & Senator Rubio 54 %. Astonishing for a Group that gave Biden 72 % of the Vote in 2020. We are talking about a 50-Point shift here. If that happens in November Democrats are DEAD in Florida I can guarantee you that.

For that, i guess we will have to wait till election day. But I suppose a shift will happen some way or the other, because anti-incumbency and Hurricane Maria no longer being relevant.

And good chance, Biden will have a chance to redeem himself because Atlantic Hurricane Season is almost certain but guaranteed to be one of the most active Atlantic hurricane seasons ever. it doesn't look good. Of course there's still a chance that like 30 hurricanes create but that none would really strike the USA directly. That is still a possibility. And even in a mild season you can have the bad luck of a pretty bad hurricane striking the USA and otherwise not much activity.

Atlantic Ocean and MDR (main development region) is record warm
WAM (West African Monsoon) will be very active.
We will transition into La Nina most likely which favours hurricane development and low shear levels needed to generate hurricanes.

Literally every single metric is pointing in the wrong direction atm there.

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1790864490893844649

On April 24, the University of Pennsylvania (UPenn) issued their prediction of a record-breaking season, predicting an unprecedented 33 (±6) named storms. They cited expected moderate La Niña conditions and record-warm sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic tied to large-scale warming.

A very active hurricane season will also likely push up gas prices by knocking out refineries, so this could still be bad for Biden even if he manages to respond well.

Ideally both since both are beautiful, but slight advantage to Italian because I would just end up confusing Portuguese & Spanish if learned both and Italian is a little more useful for my interests & hobbies due to it being geologically more active, but as I say both would be interesting and quite useful but if i learned another language it would be Spanish first (or improving my french to a better level i'm comfortable using).