Australian Election 2004 Results Thread

[Platypus]

also of note is that the Newspoll shows a 15% undecided vote, which is truly amazing. (Baggy-I won't bag you in this hread, promise did you see the great Melburnian in action in india? 150 ain't bad from leftist Victorian scum )

[Platypus]

well it is at least theoretically truly representative democracy-you need to win 50%+1 of the totasl possible vote to be elected under the compulsory preferental system. Whilst only about 96% of votes are valid, it's still a lot better then, for example, the American system, where Bush won less then a quarter of the total possible vote (as did Gore, btw).

[Platypus]

20mins. to go

Polls have already closed in Tasmania (at 4pm Australian Eastern Standard Time-they have daylight saving), Queensland, New South Wales, the ACT, Victoria, (akll at 5pm eastern) and 10 minutes ago (at 5.30pm eastern) they closed in the Northern Territory and SOuth Australia. They don't close for another hour and a half in WA, at 7pm Eastern time.

I'm just trying to find a place where you can watch it online for those from overseas

[Platypus]

6 minutes, and no luck with a webcast; the ABC doesnt have one and I dont think channel nine has one either. If anyone finds one, tell the other blokes here.

I might be popping in through the night but I'll basically be off. My top 5 to look at with interest? Solomon, in the Northern Territory; Bass in Tasmania; Hinkler in Queensland; Dobell in New South Wales; and Adelaide in South Australia. And of course the three-way contest in Wentworth, and my home seat of Melbourne Ports

And statesrights-if you are so in favour of states rights, you'd be voting for Latham in this election; Howard is a huge federalist. Whilst I'm a federalist, he really has hurt states rights, and that one of the reasons every single state and territories lower house is controlled by the Labor Party.

[Platypus]

we have a webcast: Skynews

not the best, but existant

[Platypus]

cancel that, try the australian electoral commissions website, www.aec.gov.au

no analysis, but at least the results

[Platypus]

Tasmania current-all 5 ALP

Indications- 3 ALP, 2 Liberal.

But, take heart leftists worldwide; Eden Monaro is showing a near 4% swing to the ALP, and it has gone with the winnner for the last 32 years.

[Platypus]

Al-whereas now its an anti-Latham swing on logging

silent-sorta

in Tasmania, yes, but on the mainland its hard to say.

[Platypus]

i'm prepared to predict a Coalition win

In my seat, Melbourne Ports, Labor has 1500, Greens have 500, and tghe Lberals have 1800; but after preferences it should be about 1900 each :eek:

[Platypus]

John Howard, Prime Minister 1996-2006

Peter Costello, Prime Minister 2006-2007+

[Platypus]

Coalition-85 (+2)
Labor-61 (-2)
Other-4 (=)

[Platypus]

Not really. The main coal seat of Australia, Gippsland, ahs ha a 5% swing to the Nationals.

[Platypus]

lol, justification

look, I know Gippsland. I I know the Latrobe Valley. It's a coal seat. And it's swung to the coalition.

I am so fed up of stupid, self centered, unisightful, ignorant australians. I am SO glag that I can take a gap year sometime during this term. I *HOPE* that Hoaward changes over to Costello as soon as possible, but i'm not holding my breath.

*mumbles insults at everyone and anyone*

it's soul destroying, to be honest, to think that my countrymen can do this

[Platypus]

Costello (NOT Howard) has done a great pb on the economy, he is socially moderate, and he's a Melburnian-so I can put up with him. But no more Howard, for the love of god no more Howard.

[Platypus]

well, ther Latrobe valley used o be in McMillan, a swing seat, but the redistricting has made McMillan a Liberal seat and Gippsland a lot closer.

[Platypus]

Peter Costello has done all the economic work, but anyway.

I think on monday ii''l masking tape my blazer with "RIP Compassion" :S

[Platypus]

the fact they've been in coalition since the war, and the senate, would keep it intact no matter what. Add that they don't run candidates in each others seats (mostly) and its unlikely to break up.

[Platypus]

Bringing it back to AUS-my local member (Michael Danby-ALP) is the only Jew in parliament. He was up against David Southwick for the Liberals, who is also Jewish.

[Platypus]

yep, they had a near 8% swing against them in my seat

[Platypus]

about 4% to the Liberals; 2% to Labor and 2% to the Greens

[Platypus]

well, they don't have a definite pattern, but if you look at polling Latham was aherad before the election, whilst on the last few days that support eroded a bit. I'd be confident of Labor winning 3 of the 5 too close to calls, and would expect them to win all but Bonner at this stage.

[Platypus]

I think they've won three, with two pretty much sown up for the coalition. the www.abc.net.au/elections site should have more info.

[Platypus]

the CLP is the country liberal party, basically formed when the NT liberals merged with the NT Nationals. The Nationals were formerly known as the Country Party, and changed after the two parties merged in the NT.

I don't think that the CLP is likely to change its name to the NLP at this point in time, tro be honest, either.

[Platypus]

Andrew resigned (and his seat went to the ALP).

Bronwyn Bishop mis pushing for the job but the smart money is on ABB (anybody but Bronwyn).