Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton 42% Trump 40% (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 18, 2024, 04:53:32 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton 42% Trump 40% (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton 42% Trump 40%  (Read 2793 times)
Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


« on: June 29, 2016, 09:31:15 AM »

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Also, as with other polls, Johnson and Stein both tend to do well amongst youngs.  For Stein, the age gap is especially large.  She’s at 10% among voters under 35, and 1% among those over 65.

0? Come on now. Obviously a small subsample thing. Trump is getting between 5-15% of the black vote most likely. Black Republicans do exist.
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2016, 11:57:31 PM »

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Also, as with other polls, Johnson and Stein both tend to do well amongst youngs.  For Stein, the age gap is especially large.  She’s at 10% among voters under 35, and 1% among those over 65.

0? Come on now. Obviously a small subsample thing. Trump is getting between 5-15% of the black vote most likely. Black Republicans do exist.

15%. GL with that.
Historically, it's possible. More likely than not, it's 92-8 or 90-10 or there abouts.
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 10, 2016, 08:42:00 PM »

How the hell is Trump only behind 2 in the top line when he's getting literally 0% of the black vote in the 4-way?
MOE of a subsample that's 10%-15% of the main sample to begin with. Realistically, Trump will get what? Between 7-12% of the black vote, if even. The subsample MOE has to be around that.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.016 seconds with 11 queries.