Name a state thats going to surprise us this November
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Author Topic: Name a state thats going to surprise us this November  (Read 818 times)
iceman
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« on: May 03, 2024, 02:58:47 PM »
Name 1 state that would give surprising results this November for either candidate or whichever trend or swing.

I would have to guess Minnesota, Trump might carry it very narrowly due to RFK siphoning a huge chunk of votes from Biden.
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GAinDC
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« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2024, 02:59:49 PM »
Georgia
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2024, 03:04:53 PM »
I still have a gut feeling about Allred and TX, I still think Allred can win while Biden loses TX, if Biden loses TX by 5 we can win Cruz seat
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Zenobiyl
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« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2024, 03:59:05 PM »
Montana
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #4 on: May 03, 2024, 05:00:27 PM »
Florida. Biden still probably doesn't win it, but it's closer than the blowout most people are expecting.
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omar04
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« Reply #5 on: May 03, 2024, 05:08:17 PM »
Nevada.
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
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« Reply #6 on: May 03, 2024, 05:54:49 PM »
If we name it it’s not a surprise then is it
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: May 03, 2024, 05:57:52 PM »
AZ is gonna go to Biden because we crushed the Rs in Early voting in 20/22. Perhaps NC, it's gonna be any version between 270/319, because of the Gov race .


Biden is gonna win the PVI by 5 that's what happened last time
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #8 on: May 03, 2024, 06:04:57 PM »
Either NC or MN
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #9 on: May 03, 2024, 06:05:33 PM »
Maine, Minnesota, Alaska, New Mexico, New York, Illinois & New Jersey are all good candidates
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Obama24
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« Reply #10 on: May 03, 2024, 07:23:06 PM »
MI, WI, PA, GA.
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #11 on: May 03, 2024, 08:36:23 PM »
Quote from: 7,052,770 on May 03, 2024, 05:00:27 PM
Florida. Biden still probably doesn't win it, but it's closer than the blowout most people are expecting.
Nope, that is our state now, cope.
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Matty
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« Reply #12 on: May 03, 2024, 08:38:46 PM »
Not a state, but Biden will win counties in Oklahoma and WV
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TheHegemonist
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« Reply #13 on: May 03, 2024, 08:39:43 PM »
Alaska.

It's been trending leftwards for a little while now, and with such a small population it wouldn't take much of a swing to bring it over to Biden's column. They elected a Dem statewide just a few years ago.

Plus since the polls close so late it might be that the result doesn't come in until the next morning, so that would make it quite a surprise. I think most people think of it as a solidly conservative western state, like Idaho or Wyoming. But it's not out of the question that it could flip.
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Radicalneo
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« Reply #14 on: May 03, 2024, 08:48:12 PM »
Michigan.
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Harry
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« Reply #15 on: May 03, 2024, 08:50:27 PM »
Quote from: EastwoodS on May 03, 2024, 08:36:23 PM
Quote from: 7,052,770 on May 03, 2024, 05:00:27 PM
Florida. Biden still probably doesn't win it, but it's closer than the blowout most people are expecting.
Nope, that is our state now, cope.
It's a Libertarian state now?
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #16 on: May 03, 2024, 09:34:27 PM »
Nevada or North Carolina
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wnwnwn
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« Reply #17 on: May 03, 2024, 09:35:57 PM »
Quote from: Matty on May 03, 2024, 08:38:46 PM
Not a state, but Biden will win counties in Oklahoma and WV

It would surprise normies, not us
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #18 on: May 03, 2024, 10:03:52 PM »
New York.

There are just so many unique political pockets that don't exist elsewhere in the Country one is bound to do something unexpected.
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iceman
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« Reply #19 on: May 03, 2024, 10:12:48 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on May 03, 2024, 10:03:52 PM
New York.

There are just so many unique political pockets that don't exist elsewhere in the Country one is bound to do something unexpected.

I somehow expect New York to trend heavily R this november. It could possibly end up in high single digits if RFK snags a huge chunk of votes from Biden, but highly unlikely.
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iceman
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« Reply #20 on: May 03, 2024, 10:13:42 PM »

Northe Carolina more than 10% R margin would definitely come as a surprise but not totally unexpected.
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #21 on: May 04, 2024, 10:27:18 AM »
MN.

There are signs that a Trump landslide could materialize. Watch MN.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #22 on: May 04, 2024, 10:59:49 AM »
Alaska.
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xavier110
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« Reply #23 on: May 04, 2024, 11:04:07 AM »
The divergence of AZ and NV will surprise some, especially normies who don’t follow elections closely. This will be the election where AZ will be viewed as more reliably D going forward.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #24 on: May 04, 2024, 11:29:13 AM »
NV/AZ because Gas prices are gonna go down in September
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