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May 22, 2024, 12:49:07 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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Author Topic: Let's ask olawakandi questions  (Read 35759 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #100 on: March 23, 2022, 07:43:44 PM »

Alot of the users that aren't on the forum and make R nut maps on the user Predictions are very young too
..
Xing is another one he is very young and he makes R nut maps
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #101 on: March 24, 2022, 12:06:14 AM »

Well he is wrong on his R nut map he also had Andy Beshear losing c'mon AZ, NV, WI, PA, GA going R is not gonna happen

Even Biden today said it's a 303 that's why he isn't campaign for his infrastructure in red states
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #102 on: March 24, 2022, 12:32:36 AM »

There is no check on Newsom that's why he did that, the D's are in compliance in anything he does and Rs are against stimulus but at least if they were a legitimate party they can scare D's in the state legislature to give money to everyone, STEYER if he was Gov would have done it, I am not sure but he isn't Newsom

But, having no opposition party in Cali like NY allowed the D's to short change stimulus checks, if they were afraid if their seats they would have given everyone like if you have zero income you qualify for General Assistance if you are homeless


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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #103 on: March 24, 2022, 05:02:38 AM »
« Edited: March 24, 2022, 05:24:07 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

I am not worried about a 303 map in 2022 because Trump. On 11/18 kept the Sen with unemployment at 5 percent at 40/57 Approvals and Trump was at 43/54 Approvals when RS overperform in 2020


Why did this happen , since 2010/2014 like 2012 and 2008 and 2016 the  NPVI for Ds have averaged 65/61 M we will fall short of 80/75 M but we win 41 H seats in sane day voting by a 45/33 vote in the Senate and 46/43 M vote in the Gov Election


Also , MO Sen and FL Gov races are tied and we have completitive races in OH and NC and AK Sen

If Crist and Sifton or Kunce are tied Beasley, Elvi Gray Jackson and Ryan are much better candidates and we still have Nov


Elvi Gray Jackson isn't gonna be eliminated until Aug so AK Sen isbt Safe R until she is eliminated

But, RS overperform twice when Trump and even recently we thought we were gonna get a 413 map because Trump final poll wasn't 50/47 it was 43/54 on EDay 2020, and Rs keep comparing Biden Approvals to Obama of course they R Trump Approvals were so atroseous


Right now as I have said before already it's D's 303 RS 125 and D's have50 votes already in the S we are gonna win AZ, NV, NH again and PA as a pickup and WI and GA are pure tossups


Just like it was in 2020 Biden was assured 303 votes but Trump was only assured 125 OH, NC, IA TX FL are battleground


The remaining tossups is if we can win a Filibuster proof Senate as wave insurance for the H but Pappas and Jared Golden are gonna win, it's not R plus 25 seats


Biden or D's have 303 votes already Biden is only campaigning in WI, PA abd MI on his infrastructure


We may be in a new paradigm where just because as Prez you have subpar Approvals doesn't mean losing seats because how come RS overperformed twice, and the state by state polls are off from the Approval

If FL Gov is tied I have absolutely no idea how TX Gov it maybe safe R but it may not be it's a Latino state


Also, despite Newsom shenegans he overperform too he was expected to win 54 percent like his Approval was he won 63 percent but DeSantis is not winning by 12 if he wins he would win by 3 RS can forget that


Again, the way the. RS are complaining about Biden Approvals Trump was at per Gallup 11/20 43)54 Approvals
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #104 on: March 26, 2022, 02:33:13 AM »

It's over and KU will beat Duke in the Final Four Title game, I do not want Duke to win
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #105 on: March 28, 2022, 01:01:01 PM »
« Edited: March 28, 2022, 01:10:12 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Going to Law school isn't about being a lawyer there are many law students that's unemployed now in a Pandemic that owe 200K in debt be ause they went to Ivy League schools particularly here in Cali 59 K a yr and not Federal loans but private loans


Going to Law school qualifies you to get a political job to that otherwise you won't get just going to undergrad

That's why online schooling is so popular, the Banks aren't giving out private loans in you haven't paid off your undergrad Debt first without a co signer unless you just got out of College at 25 and go straight into Law school where your Credit report is still 700..

So, the idea about being a lawyer just because you go to Law school that's why there is Nursing school many people failed to become a Doctor going to med school once they Graduate


No one can guarentee you a job, that's why there is student loan pandemic, many went to College and got a blue collar job not a white collared job

Ivy league schools that patrons went to and got Private loans and owe more than 200L in debt are Stanford, USC, and Pepperdine,and of course UCLA and I hear on the internet debtors crying that their student loans are about to resume in May, but they spent  all that stimulus money on extravagant restaurants, traveling and clothes and in some cases cars, you can't have it both ways spend money on luxuries and then ask for a discharge

Many on Atlasia that acts like Pbower that's why it's suspect that Solid is pbower2A and Cookie Damage are asking for a Student loan Discharge because they didn't get a white collar job but got a blue collar job and Graduated school

pbower2A is 46 yrs old and on Disability and he doesn't say he went to college but I suspect he did like Ferguson, S019 did and got blue collar jobs and not white collar jobs

That's why I will never register on Atlasia the people running for office act like pbower2A only respond when they want, and pbower2A is doing it now because Biden Approvals are so low
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #106 on: March 29, 2022, 01:18:38 AM »
« Edited: March 29, 2022, 01:29:23 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

I have to pass my test right now that's the only responsibility that I have Law School med School and Nursing school have logic tests that are meant for a B average student in undergrad they are so easy because you are expected to maintain a C average, but in Grad school most Grad schools you flink our if your overall GPA falls below a B

That's why Grad school is very tough to get into you must demonstrate unlike Undergrad with LSAT scores you can maintain a B aberage

I heard this pharmacist student flunked out owing 127 K debt, the reason for this is the multiple choice not essay alI you have to do is get a Flemings book and repeatlly go over multiple choice question they said in order to pass the Final or Bar or First yr Law exam, you must review multiple choice questions 300 times that's why people flunk out and they don't get a tutor , they think it's like Undergrad review the tests right before the Final and pass it's Flemings and review multiple choice 300  times that's what it takes
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #107 on: March 30, 2022, 02:27:40 PM »

What is an "R nut" map?

I never had a multiple choice exam in law school btw. They were all essay exams. In my civil procedure class, the professor who was in his first year too as a teacher, included an essay question about comparing and contrasting trials by endurance as compared to trials in the courtroom. I would have done better in answering that one if I had consumed an edible.

Lol check the Bar Exam and First year Law exam, 50% of grade on the Bar is multiple choice and 50% is Essay but you can pass the Class if you get a B average on essay and a Failing mark on Multiple choice that's how it's a 2.0 average especially for first yr law students there were Multiple choice and Essay the problem with multiple choice it can be two answers but in undergrad they give you True False as well as in HS that's why Grad School exams are meant for B Average students but you only flunk out in Grad school if you don't maintain a B a law school you maintain 2.04 it's not a fkunk out
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #108 on: March 30, 2022, 03:18:41 PM »
« Edited: March 30, 2022, 03:30:03 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

What is an "R nut" map?

I never had a multiple choice exam in law school btw. They were all essay exams. In my civil procedure class, the professor who was in his first year too as a teacher, included an essay question about comparing and contrasting trials by endurance as compared to trials in the courtroom. I would have done better in answering that one if I had consumed an edible.

Also the Civiqu poll show us why it's a 303 Map not an R nut map or 413 Map Biden is at 34% in 235 Red states and 44% on blue states 44% instv50% but the rule of thumb bu Nate Silver is if an incumbent is struggling add six pts that's how you get to 50 for Whitmer,cEvers, SISOLAK and Shapiro in a 303 Map Same with Raphael Warnock and Mark Kelly

That why in the St Leo poll showed us Crist at 34%, because Biden Approvals I'd back at  34% ok the border the surge in COVID cases make voters Blake immigrants for bringing in Covid

That's why Biden Approvals are 44% he gets a 34% Approval in red states but 44% in blue states but add six pts to struggling inumbants in blue states that's 50% a 303 map

It's important to note Biden is at 44% in IL and Rs aren't contesting IL due to how popular Pritzker is and how unpopular Quinn was in 2010/2o14 Quinn barely won in 201o to Brady/ but lost in 2014 Rauner was a moderate like Kirk

That's why we can win kS, KY and LA again in red states with Covid l, Govs are entrenched, even if Cassidy runs for Gov in 2023 Mixon can still best him because of the 49% rule Rs always face in GA and LA

It's looks like Chambers is  gonna be the runner up in the D primary to Kennedy not Mixon which is bad news for Rs they need Mixon to win the D primary to avoid him running for Gov against Cassidy in 23..

If Mixon lost to Kennedy it will knock him out of Gov race
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #109 on: March 30, 2022, 04:49:15 PM »
« Edited: March 30, 2022, 04:52:54 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

He is only my nemesis when the exchanges get heated he never responds but starts the exchanges by saying he is optimistic

Like many of the exchanges between I and Vaccinated Bear whom is nowhere around like Big Serg anymore got heated he didn't once intermingle.
.
We don't need a Biden Approvals map anyways the Civiqu polls have Biden at 34% in red states and 44% in blue states but since Biden is at 44% in IL you add six to all the blue state D incumbentts struggling like Evers, Whitmer and Shapiro

The problem with the polls there are zero Suffolk polls, that poll blue state Ds running that's why Siena been polling NY race so much no Suffolk


Beto is still wanting me to donate to his campaign he is DONE BIDEN IS AT 34% IN TX, OH AND FL AND NC THATS WHY OH PREDICTIVE HAVE BEEN POLLING THE AZ SEN AND Gov RACES IT WONT POLL OH , BIDEN HAS A 34/61 APPROVALS IN OH
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #110 on: April 05, 2022, 01:14:49 PM »

They turned D because they grew up we experience 3 Great Recession some of them got married but some of them didn't it's the unmarried whites that vote D, some had kids and some adopted


But, the 2008 Recession definitely made getting married a middle class thing not a poor thing and alot of people including athletes abd celebrities are adopting than having their own child if they do have multiple children 1 or more are adopted, when I was young, my pasted had 4 girls and he was married he adopted them not having live births
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #111 on: April 15, 2022, 07:42:28 PM »
« Edited: April 15, 2022, 07:47:16 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

I have a good feeling about the Election everytime  I go out in blue state Cali despite the constant Dooming on this Atlas especially by Rs, I see many Ds registering to vote, this blue Cali but the Election isn't over its only April and we have a very biased pollster QU that wrongly predicted Biden to win a landslide, 2020 they had Harrison winning abd McGrath only down by 4 in 2020, they're gonna be very wrong in Nov with 33% Approvals

 I can swallow a 41/55 because it's VBM and with turnout we can get to 50 with 110/150M votes 33% is 2010/2014 territory where it was same day voting 82/90M vote we have come a long way since then, the 33% Voter Turnout was the norm in a Midterm, now it's 50% to 79%
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #112 on: April 16, 2022, 12:29:30 AM »
« Edited: April 16, 2022, 12:35:54 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Why they have Garlic Speaking Celts and Kilts in Australia

I lived in Australia for 8 years, and never saw anyone wearing a kilt there.

I was also unable to find any Celts there who spoke with garlic.


Now you're trying to CONTRIDICT me like users are on the the meaning of Scottish or Irish Celtic, you do know Canada, Australia and US and Britain and Scotland and Ireland are all British how do you think we all speak English Garlic Celtic is Irish or Scottish tongue Chris Hemsworth develop the accent for Thor whom was a Viking abd Vikings and I learned from School are direct Descendants of the Scottish you know this stop playing games

How do think men wear shorts they are copied from the Celts because when it's hot men cannot wear skirts and Shorts or Kilts are a man product of the skirt stop playing games

https://www.google.com/search?q=kilts+australia&oq=australia+kilts+&aqs=chrome.1.69i57j0i22i30l8.9076j0j4&client=ms-android-boost-us-revc&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8

Here is the link where you can buy Kilts from Australia
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #113 on: April 16, 2022, 12:45:00 AM »

I will never live in a cold climate ever again, my family wanted me to comeback to IL a long time ago, I have no responsibility except my schooling I had planned on moving to California during my retirement yrs but my mom died too early just like my Grandma in their Late sixties

NY isn't like the Midwest but it's still NY
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #114 on: April 16, 2022, 12:52:12 AM »

QU needs to be banned permanently with it's Biden 33 PERCENT APPROVAL, some on this forum thinks the Election is over, it's not over it's called casting ballots but I know alot of pollsters like QU want to blame the oil crisis on Biden and his Approvals that's all what these polls is about
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #115 on: April 16, 2022, 06:28:24 PM »

To the OPs that keep questioning me I don't really respond to users that make R nut maps, it's votes that matter not Approvals it's not over until Eday.

The personal questions is like why do you have R nut maps we Ds have beaten Rs in most Elections on the NPVI and all of a sudden they press the button in 3.8 percent unemployment and it's 2010 again and it's 10 percent unemployment it doesn't work that way

That's why I am not responding

I  am doing a Pbower only responding when I want, he has Disappeared yet again
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,543
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #116 on: April 17, 2022, 08:16:38 AM »

I am so DONE WITH THIS THREAD IF PBOWER2A CAN PUT PEOPLE ON IGNORE I can too but it's two users OP as well as VBM that want to ask you alot of questions and not gonna respond
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