2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[Hindsight was 2020]

A really good read on dem recruitment in California https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/06/01/us/democrats-bid-to-regain-hold-on-house-begins-in-california.html?referer=https://t.co/WkeORrhLs2?amp=1

[BuckeyeNut]

Avon-based Ken Harbaugh, and Ivy-educated Navy pilot and non-profit President, to challenge Bob Gibbs in the Ohio 7th.

Trump won this district by 30 points on a huge swing from 2012. Good luck with that.

He has a great bio to run for office though. Wonder why he doesn't run for state treasurer instead?

Ohio already has a phenomenal candidate running for Treasurer in State Rep. David Leland.

Harbaugh has a big uphill battle, but Gibbs only ("only") won the district by 13 points in '12, and Zach Space pulled off a much bigger upset in a more conservative version of the 7th back in '06.

[KingSweden]

Can a man named Harbaugh win in Ohio, though?

[Terry the Fat Shark]

5/31 Weekly Tracking numbers from yougov:
http://tiny.cc/jbzjly (page 107)

Democrats - 39 (+1)
Republicans - 33 (-3)
Others - 4 (+2)
Not Sure - 15 (-2)

[BuckeyeNut]

Can a man named Harbaugh win in Ohio, though?

The biggest obstacle, TBH.

[Badger]

Avon-based Ken Harbaugh, and Ivy-educated Navy pilot and non-profit President, to challenge Bob Gibbs in the Ohio 7th.

Trump won this district by 30 points on a huge swing from 2012. Good luck with that.

Wow, that is one SERIOUSLY gerrymandered district even by Ohio standards.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think the Dems should be cautiously optimistic, but a 5 point edge on the generic ballot isn't that bad.

[Brittain33]

Mary Sally Matiella, a CPA who served in the Obama Defense Department as assistant secretary of the Army, is considering challenging Martha McSally in AZ-2.

[Sorenroy]

Kenneth Queen is running for NC-10, Patrick McHenry's seat. White, straight, married with three (I think, judging from photos) kids, and a military background. His website has a issues page, but it's not very flushed out and there is nothing really specific. A "strong supporter" of the Second Amendment, Medicare-for-all, pro-choice but for free birth control and "fact based sex education" among other things to lessen the need for abortion, education as a right (not sure if this refers to free-college, or just fighting further restrictions), for a secure border (nothing about amnesty), and 100% renewable energy by 2035.

http://www.queenforcongress.com/issues/

He apparently spoke at a March for Truth rally here in Asheville, NC today (June 3rd). I did not attend, but it is reported on their website.

https://indivisibleavl.org/06-01-2017/march-for-truth-against-russianties-on-saturday-june-3/

[smoltchanov]

Kenneth Queen is running for NC-10, Patrick McHenry's seat. White, straight, married with three (I think, judging from photos) kids, and a military background. His website has a issues page, but it's not very flushed out and there is nothing really specific. A "strong supporter" of the Second Amendment, Medicare-for-all, pro-choice but for free birth control and "fact based sex education" among other things to lessen the need for abortion, education as a right (not sure if this refers to free-college, or just fighting further restrictions), for a secure border (nothing about amnesty), and 100% renewable energy by 2035.

http://www.queenforcongress.com/issues/

He apparently spoke at a March for Truth rally here in Asheville, NC today (June 3rd). I did not attend, but it is reported on their website.

https://indivisibleavl.org/06-01-2017/march-for-truth-against-russianties-on-saturday-june-3/

"White, straight, married, with three children, military background" is good for this district. Pro-choice? Not so much, probably...

[KingSweden]

Kenneth Queen is running for NC-10, Patrick McHenry's seat. White, straight, married with three (I think, judging from photos) kids, and a military background. His website has a issues page, but it's not very flushed out and there is nothing really specific. A "strong supporter" of the Second Amendment, Medicare-for-all, pro-choice but for free birth control and "fact based sex education" among other things to lessen the need for abortion, education as a right (not sure if this refers to free-college, or just fighting further restrictions), for a secure border (nothing about amnesty), and 100% renewable energy by 2035.

http://www.queenforcongress.com/issues/

He apparently spoke at a March for Truth rally here in Asheville, NC today (June 3rd). I did not attend, but it is reported on their website.

https://indivisibleavl.org/06-01-2017/march-for-truth-against-russianties-on-saturday-june-3/

This guy sounds like my political spirit animal

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

Kenneth Queen is running for NC-10, Patrick McHenry's seat. White, straight, married with three (I think, judging from photos) kids, and a military background. His website has a issues page, but it's not very flushed out and there is nothing really specific. A "strong supporter" of the Second Amendment, Medicare-for-all, pro-choice but for free birth control and "fact based sex education" among other things to lessen the need for abortion, education as a right (not sure if this refers to free-college, or just fighting further restrictions), for a secure border (nothing about amnesty), and 100% renewable energy by 2035.

http://www.queenforcongress.com/issues/

He apparently spoke at a March for Truth rally here in Asheville, NC today (June 3rd). I did not attend, but it is reported on their website.

https://indivisibleavl.org/06-01-2017/march-for-truth-against-russianties-on-saturday-june-3/

This guy sounds like my political spirit animal

His immigration policy leaves a lot to be desired, but at the same time everything else seems great. Endorsed.

[Technocracy Timmy]

Somebody who can actually take down Rohrabacher in an Orange County district that voted for Clinton.

[Hindsight was 2020]

I was wondering do the dems have anyone good to take on Carlos Curbelo?

[Technocracy Timmy]

538 is now out with a generic congressional ballot tracker.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I was wondering do the dems have anyone good to take on Carlos Curbelo?

We need a Hispanic version of Joe Machin that looks something like this

That's really the only hope for dems to take the district as is.

[publicunofficial]

^wtf?



On topic: Spokane City Council President Ben Stuckart is dropping out of WA-05 due to family health concerns:

[publicunofficial]

State Rep. Carol Ammons has formed an exploratory comittee for a run in IL-13. Ammons' seat is in the Champaign-Urbana area, and received an endorsement and funding from Bernie Sanders in her last election.

Unelectable, we need Andy Manar

The fact that she's even considering probably means Manar isn't interested. I say give her a shot.

Update: Ammons will decide on June 15th, and she isn't dumb:

[quote]
"If I'm going to run, it will be based on our ability to count (votes in) the district, and we are doing that part of the work. But we also need to count the number of people who are absolutely committed to walking and knocking on doors in places where people may not be accustomed to voting for someone who looks like me or who has a record like mine."

[KingSweden]

Apparently Herb Kohl's nephew is debating getting in vs Grothman?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Are there any rumors of Ds recruting Lynwood Lewis jr for Vir 2nd? Be a great land

[Donerail]

I was wondering do the dems have anyone good to take on Carlos Curbelo?

We need a Hispanic version of Joe Machin that looks something like this
[img snip]

That's really the only hope for dems to take the district as is.

wow this is dumb and bad even by atlas standards

anyway, most of the Dem oxygen in the area is currently being taken up by the races for FL-27, SD-40, and HD-116—the 27th is probably easier for a Dem to win than the 26th and is an open seat, so most Dems are trying for that one. nothing really going on with the Curbelo challenger - I assume he'll get one, but it'll be at least after the SD-40 election.

[heatcharger]

Quinnipiac poll:

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Democratic Party 51% (-3)
Republican Party 39% (+2)

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Democratic Party 52%
Republican Party 39%

[GeorgiaModerate]

Martha McSally in a private talk to the Arizona Bankers Association:

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[#gravelgang #lessiglad]

Haven't seen anything posted on this. Mike Hartley, an Iraq war vet, is running against Brooks in IN-05. He did a Reddit AMA yesterday and laid out what can best be described as a Sanders-esque platform. His candidacy will be an interesting test case for those who wish Ossoff would run further to the left. GA-06 and IN-05 are pretty similar districts and, while it weren't the case, I just can't see Hartley's platform winning in IN-05.

[JA]

Biden encourages Mitt Romney to run for Senate

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