The polls seem to be jumping wildly.
46% is not enough to win in a binary race, but it is far easier to win from 46% than from 35% or so.
And yet she's tied with Trump in FL and PA?
A 10% lead nationwide for Hillary Clinton indicates that either (1) the Reuters-Ipsos poll is wrong, or (2) recent polls in Florida, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania are obsolete.
Interpret these data as you wish. We will get more evidence to document or disprove one or the other.
Donald Trump is beginning to look as if he has something to hide, and attacking a jurist on frivolous grounds looks very, very bad.
