2012 Elections in Germany

[minionofmidas]

The SPD is hard at work abolishing itself. The Greens and the Left are hard at work not filling the gap. The rightwing government is ideological and incompetent.
Be glad Pirate supporters aren't just staying at home.

[minionofmidas]

For the past ten years, Wolfgang Kubicki has said in every interview that most of what the FDP federal leadership does is total bullsh**t. Hence his high credibility.

Other than saying that the federal FDP leadership is total bullsh*t, are there any differences in the state FDP and federal FDP when it comes to policy ?

Wolfgang Kubicki is a complete and very competent media whore and believes whatever you believe, baby.

[minionofmidas]

Contrary to initial exits, Pirates have probably beaten the FDP.

[minionofmidas]

SSW won Harrislee!



SSW 26.8 (+2.0)
SPD 25.6 (+3.
CDU 24.6 (-0.4)
Greens 9.4 (+1.3)
FDP 6.1 (-5.
Pirates 4.8 (+3.7)
Left 1.4 (-3.7)

(Harrislee is squeezed in between Flensburg and the Danish border, and frankly I guess the minors' results are suppressed by the SSW alternative. It's biggish by SlH standards, 8500 registered voters.)

[minionofmidas]

First constituency result: Neumünster.

list vote:
SPD 33.9 (+4.7)
CDU 29.2 (-1.4)
Greens 11.2 (+0.5)
Pirates 8.4 (+6.5)
FDP 7.4 (-6.6)
SSW 3.8 (+0.
Left 2.6 (-3.

direct vote: SPD gain, 39.6-38.1.

[minionofmidas]

East Holstein N
SPD 34.6 (+5.5)
CDU 33.0 (+0.6)
Greens 9.9 (+0.6)
Pirates 8.1 (+6.7)
FDP 7.9 (-7.8)
SSW 2.0 (+0.3)
Left 2.0 (-3.4)
Direct: SPD gain by 242 votes (0.5%).

[minionofmidas]

Stormarn N
CDU 31.8 (-0.5)
SPD 29.2 (+4.7)
Greens 15.2 (+1.6)
Pirates 8.8 (+7.0)
FDP 8.1 (-8.2)
SSW 2.2 (+0.2)
Left 2.0 (-4.3)

CDU hold direct.

[minionofmidas]

http://www.landtagswahl-sh.de/wahlen.php?site=left/status_karte&wahl=23

I was just going to claim that no one besides me seems to give a flying chutiya. Three more results in, two safe SPD seats in Kiel and funny ole Flensburg (another SPD gain, with 18.4% SSW in the list vote.)

Flensburg Rural CDU hold.

[minionofmidas]

SPD gain Elmshorn, CDU hold Stormarn C.

[minionofmidas]

Fun fact: CDU won 22 direct seats, SPD 13. No overhang seats - and the CDU candidate for state pm Jost de Jager has not been elected to parliament.

And yeah, they want to try the "Danish Traffic Light".

[minionofmidas]

Maybe Röttgen is trying to reanimate the FDP?

[minionofmidas]

1%.

[minionofmidas]

I liked it when they called "Jamaica" the "Schwampel".

[minionofmidas]

CDU  26
FDP  8,5

Lol.

[minionofmidas]

I just read "Röttgen resigns" somewhere and thought he'd resigned from the federal cabinet. But no, he just resigned as state CDU chair.

[minionofmidas]

It's real.

http://www.focus.de/politik/deutschland/nrw-wahl/wahlkampf-in-nrw-currywurst-ist-spd_aid_739606.html
http://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deutschland/nrw-wahl-2012/currywurst-ist-spd-das-wahlkampfplakat-und-seine-macher/6526804.html

Heh. This is still der Doris ihrem Mann seine Partei, after all.

[minionofmidas]

First constituency result in - Olpe. Rural, Catholic Sauerland.

turnout 60.0 (-0.4)
CDU 43.1 (-8.0)
SPD 30.9 (+5.3)
FDP 7.7 (+0.9)
Greens 6.7 (-0.7)
Pirates 6.6 (+5.6)
Left 1.6 (-2.2)
pro NRW are strongest "other" at 1.0 (-0.2). Needless to say CDU held the direct seat.

[minionofmidas]

Soest II (ie Lippstadt)

turnout 58.3 (+0.7)
SPD 39.1 (+5.9)
CDU 30.5 (-7.7)
FDP 8.9 (+0.2)
Greens 8.7 (-1.1)
Pirates 7.3 (+5.9)
Left 2.2 (-2.7)

SPD gain direct seat.

Interesting place. Smallish town with slight traces of a boboish studenty vibe, surrounded by Catholic countryside. The western half of Soest district has a few ancestrally protestant corners, and parts of its countryside are uglily suburbanifying (but Soest itself is also a nice, if touristy in a lowkey way, town).

[minionofmidas]

The stabber (who has confessed. And is a Hessian. ) fits the cliche bill of such people quite well. German born Turkish citizen; a hardened hooligan with an arm's length criminal record from his teens who's been out of trouble the past five years thanks to finding Allah. Yet the conversion only goes so far; these people have a grievance and an aggressive demeanor (and are very much a post-2001 phenomenon. Or rather post-post-2001-islamophobia phenomenon.)

[minionofmidas]

actually i do, i have a blog on the far right in europe and that is why i am here and asking about the pro-nrw...  id also like to know if how the NPD are doing...

In both the constituencies wholly in, pro NRW and NPD are the two strongest "others", but not by much and not doing at all well or any better than last time. They are not doing well enough to get any sort of mainstream media attention, so official results are all I have.

[minionofmidas]

1.0, 0.8, 0.6. That sort of thing. (Just noticed the NPD is actually third strongest "other" in one of them, not second.)

And we have a third result in, Düsseldorf III.

SPD 32.1 (+4.6)
CDU 24.6 (-8.9)
Greens 16.4 (-1.6)
FDP 13.1 (+4.1)
Pirates 7.4 (+5.4)
Left 3.3 (-3.0)

Another SPD gain.

(pro NRW 0.9. NPD just 0.3.)

[minionofmidas]

http://www.wahlergebnisse.nrw.de/landtagswahlen/2012/aktuell/index.html

[minionofmidas]

Results coming in fast now, and more family for me. (Höxter, CDU heartland, my grandmother's mother was from. Moers, SPD heartland near Duisburg, I have an uncle living.)

A CDU incumbent in Viersen saved by ticket-splitting voters.

[minionofmidas]

When a member of a higher-level government runs for a lower level, and esp. if he doesn't resign his position and intends to retain it in case of defeat, the government is automatically at poll. (He also loses votes both by appearing less than committed and by not being able to criticize the government, not even in the ways other politicians of the same party do routinely. Boris Rhein suffered the exact same problems in Frankfurt.) It's just that it was the less-than-popular federal government vs the popular state government, not the federal government vs the hapless useless federal opposition.

[minionofmidas]

Angela Merkel has fired Norbert Röttgen as minister for environment today.

How ironic, because he was too afraid to take any risks in the NRW election campaign he ultimately lost everything.

Hmmm, Horst?

"Ist er jetzt ein Umweltminister auf Bewährung?"
"Nein, das würde ich ihm nicht so zuordnen."

Indeed not.