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May 29, 2024, 05:14:49 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 05:14:34 PM 
Started by Mike88 - Last post by Oryxslayer
What’s the most likely scenario outcome? Most talk has been how the ANC has a good chance of losing power but most polls had them well ahead of the DA so is it a case of people thinking they won’t be able to form a coalition government?

National-level Coalitions are a whole new thing for modern South Africa, so nobody really knows. Obviously the shape of the results matters, things are more complex with the ANC closer to 35% than 45%. Locally, there are coalitions and confine groups, often between seemingly incompatible parties. Theoretically, anything is possible.

 2 
 on: Today at 05:14:15 PM 
Started by WV222 - Last post by Benjamin Frank 2.0
No, because by bringing the case through a proxy they can claim they are not involved, when in fact they are.
And don't play dumb.
Bragg would never have brought the charges if Biden had told him not to.

Why didn't Biden just tell Vance to bring the charges? He passed on this case.

Biden didn't tell anyone to bring any charges.
He just didn't stop anyone from bringing charges.


Either you're very confused or just trolling at this point.

Could be both.  They're not mutually exclusive.

Opinions you don't like =/= trolling. You can't muzzle every single person who disagrees. You'd have to get rid of every single Republican or independent on this forum.

Maybe you need to learn the difference between a valid opinion and a whacked out conspiracy theory with no evidence. Not all 'opinions' are of equal merit.

I just found this meme yesterday and it fits here:


Essentially, what you’re saying is if people are skeptical of Joe Biden in any slight way, they don’t belong here. That criticism of any kind is going to increasingly be cracked down upon as Election Day draws near. Correct?

No, what I'm saying is that if people are going to make charges against any individual, that they need to have positive evidence. Anybody can throw out any negative charge they like and it's impossible to refute completely. There is the saying: "one can't disprove a negative."

So, the onus is on the person making the charge to provide evidence, and none was provided in this case.

I can similarly easily say that until Jeffrey Epstein's death, that he and Donald Trump would spend every night together raping women and you have no way of disproving it, but that doesn't make it true. I'm not a mod here but if you think this is an acceptable line of discourse, maybe you should be posting someplace else.

 3 
 on: Today at 05:14:14 PM 
Started by Mike88 - Last post by Logical
10+ point swings against ANC and none of them from KZN or urban townships yet. It's going to be a slaughter.

 4 
 on: Today at 05:13:17 PM 
Started by Harry Hayfield - Last post by WD
Starmer is going to have one of the most loyal PLPs ever, isn’t he?

 5 
 on: Today at 05:13:08 PM 
Started by Hnv1 - Last post by pppolitics
Support for Israel's War Is Shaking My Faith in America's Jewish Community

Quote
It's been terribly distressing to be a Jew in America since the attacks on Israel on October 7 by Hamas, but not for the reasons you might think.

I am a Jew who has supported the cause of Palestinian emancipation for decades now. I have found the American Jewish community an increasingly difficult and uncertain place ever since the war began.

It infuriates me to see many of my fellow Jews, some of whom are longtime friends, supporting Israel's seven-month attack on Gaza and the West Bank (as well as Syria and Lebanon) with seemingly no concern at all over the obscene bloodshed of tens of thousands of innocent civilians, which some scholars and experts in large-scale civilian attacks have called a genocide.

Add to that death toll Israel's bombing of hospitals, mosques and schools; as well as blocking food, water, medicine and other vital supplies from entering the territory, and the result is a hell on Earth.

How can so many of my fellow American Jews—especially those of us who are fortunate enough to have comfortable suburban lives, plenty to eat, and freedom—not speak out against this horror?

In Judaism there is a concept called tikkun olam, which is the idea of social action and the pursuit of social justice intended to repair and improve the world. This is a concept that has resonated with me in both my activism and work, and makes it impossible not to speak out to the world and to other Jews to remind them of who and what we are.

[...]

https://www.newsweek.com/support-israels-war-shaking-my-faith-americas-jewish-community-opinion-1904582

 6 
 on: Today at 05:13:00 PM 
Started by Mike88 - Last post by Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
What’s the most likely scenario outcome? Most talk has been how the ANC has a good chance of losing power but most polls had them well ahead of the DA so is it a case of people thinking they won’t be able to form a coalition government?

Some variation of a hung Parliament with the ANC taking a clear plurality.

 7 
 on: Today at 05:12:45 PM 
Started by Mr. Smith - Last post by Alcibiades
It's a shame McCarthy just barely missed the cut here. I'm not a social democrat, but I'm not inflexible either- I'll give them some support if they're serious about challenging liberals and advancing reforms that will push the Overton Window in the right direction (hence why I supported Sanders in 2020 even though I found the self-proclaimed "democratic socialists" to be a bunch of naive pushovers, which they proved themselves to be in the end). I probably would have been Clean for Gene in '68.

Wellstone was decent and Mondale had some Ws. Makes me wish we had the '80s Democrats and their advocacy for a nuclear freeze back.
Eugene McCarthy was hardly a social democrat, unless you are using some kind of different definition of the term.

Social democrats for Reagan.

 8 
 on: Today at 05:12:34 PM 
Started by OSR stands with Israel - Last post by Hindsight was 2020
Also I know OSR is a massive hack on anything related to Israel but framing the US senate threatening the ICC and the prosecutor with retaliation as simply “speaking out against the ICC” is seriously disingenuous

 9 
 on: Today at 05:11:27 PM 
Started by Virginiá - Last post by Storr
"Shortly after turning 18 in February, Daniil Yermolenko fulfilled a long-held wish and signed a contract with Russia’s armed forces. A month later, he voted for the first time, casting a ballot in the presidential election for Vladimir Putin, who had already been in power for six years when Yermolenko was born in 2006.

By late March Yermolenko had completed a basic two-week military training, and he was sent to Berdychi in eastern Ukraine where Russian forces were engaged in a devastating assault as part of its spring offensive.

There, on 4 April, during a storming of a Ukrainian position, Yermolenko found himself separated from his unit, surrounded by intense enemy fire. Before losing contact, Yermolenko reportedly radioed his base: “This is it guys. I am doomed.”

Last week his family and friends gathered in a small town in central Russia to receive Yermolenko’s casket, which was draped in the Russian flag. A military orchestra presided over the ceremony where the casket was lowered into the ground.

Yermolenko is the only recorded Russian casualty so far to have been born in 2006, making him the youngest known soldier to have died since Putin ordered his troops into Ukraine more than two years ago."



"Thousands of young Russians, often referred to as “Generation P” for having lived only under Putin’s presidency, have died fighting in Ukraine. Mediazona, a Russian outlet that tracks war casualties using open sources, has identified nearly 5,000 soldiers under the age of 24 who have died in the war, including 1,400 under the age of 20. The real toll is likely to be much higher, the outlet says.

Russia portrays these fallen men, many of whom hail from the hinterlands, as heroes. And the Kremlin has gone to great lengths to make sure many more young people join the fighting as Putin seeks to re-engineer the country into a militarised society."



"Ever since Putin came to power in 2000, the Russian government has attempted to impose a state ideology on its young people, investing heavily in pro-government youth organisations. But for years these efforts seemed to be failing, with young Russians often at the forefront of pro-democracy protests and topping polls expressing anti-government sentiments.

The war in Ukraine, however, gave the Kremlin a renewed momentum to indoctrinate teenagers with Putin’s highly aggressive and anti-western version of patriotism.

“We are waging at least three wars,” said Sergei Novikov, a senior Kremlin bureaucrat, in July 2023. “There is the war on the frontlines. There is the economic war. And the third war is an ideological war … a war for the minds of the youth.”

Russia has dramatically increased its spending on patriotic education and state-run militarised groups for children and teens, from £25m in 2021 to more than £382m in 2024. Since the onset of the conflict, public school textbooks have been rewritten to align with the Kremlin’s foreign policy, reflecting Russia’s interpretation of history that emphasises the need to reclaim “historical territories” lost to Ukraine."

 10 
 on: Today at 05:10:49 PM 
Started by MR DARK BRANDON - Last post by MR DARK BRANDON
Finally, another poll of Nebraska 2

Biden by 5 seems reasonable

There aren’t any demographic groups in this district that national polls suggest are swinging to trump
This actually seems like the kind of place Biden could gain voters.

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