How Many Democrats Needed to Reelect Pelosi as Speaker?

[rbt48]

Basically, this posting gives you the chance to state whether you think that if the new House is closely divided, if there might be Blue Dog defectors away from Pelosi, perhaps even some party switchers.  Have fun.

[rbt48]

With the scenario of a closely divided House, but still with 218 or more Democrats, who are some Blue Dogs or others who might defect (if reelected)?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think that it is likely the Blue dogs will likely be defeated this fall, so I think she easily gets reelected.  Now, if the Dems have a narrow majority a revolt can take place but unlikely. I think Dems will have 232 votes enough for a revolt to not happen.

[J. J.]

I'll say 220, but that includes any post election defections (or pre election defections, though those are unlikely).  Also deaths might change that.  I'd say majority +1.

I basically think that if there are 35 losses, Pelosi holds.

[rbt48]

Perhaps this question has more relevancy now that several Blue Dogs have announced that they will not vote for Pelosi for Speaker.  For instance, Jim Marshall, GA-8, plans to vote "Present" and hopes that a centrist Democrat will emerge, assuming the Democrats maintain a majority.  But, he says he will not vote for a Republican.

Of course, he probably will not be sitting in Congress come January.

[Torie]

This speculation will never to subject to being tested by ensuing events. The Dems are not going to have a majority in the House.

[BillyW]

True

[Dgov]

Probably 220 at most.

[Brandon H]

Ravi Sangisetty, the Dem candidate for LA CD-3, has said he won't support Pelosi as Speaker if elected. (The odds are against Sangisetty winning though. I'll consider voting for him because I don't like the Republican candidate (Jeff Landry).)

[Phony Moderate]

Option 1.