Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) (user search)
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  Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET)  (Read 58466 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« on: March 15, 2016, 03:36:18 PM »
I wonder if Trump thinks closed primaries and early voting are somehow new phenomenon created just to get him.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2016, 03:45:25 PM »
FYI, here are the latest prices from PredictIt. Betting says Trump wins FL, NC, IL, loses OH and MO is a tossup with Trump and Cruz

FL
Trump    94¢    
Rubio    8¢    

NC
Trump   87¢       
Cruz   12¢    

IL
Trump   76¢
Cruz   26¢    

MO
Cruz   51¢    
Trump   48¢

OH
Kasich   68¢
Trump    32¢ 
          
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344
« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2016, 05:57:50 PM »
At the first round of exits the favorites at the PredictIt market all increased their odds. So now Trump is even more favored to win FL, NC and IL. Kasich more favored in OH and Cruz is now 60/40 fave in MO.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2016, 06:12:09 PM »
Marco Rubio's price to win GOP nomination on PredictIt just hit 1 cent. As recently as just 3 weeks ago (the day of the NV caucus) he was the front-runner priced at 51 cents.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2016, 07:17:09 PM »
Quote from: Pyro on March 15, 2016, 07:16:06 PM
Somewhere, Jeb Bush is laughing at Rubio's speech.

Maybe he was the heckler
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: March 15, 2016, 07:22:38 PM »
Is the last political speech in his life?  Maybe he gets an RNC speech but I doubt he will be VP now. He isn't a favorite son in FL.   And how can a one term Senator out of work for four years run and win in 2020?
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: March 15, 2016, 07:39:28 PM »
It really doesn't matter in NC, its pure proportional. Win or lose Cruz is getting around 36% ish of the delegates.  IL and MO are more important to watch in terms of how many delegates Cruz can deny Trump.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344
« Reply #7 on: March 15, 2016, 08:59:46 PM »
Trump is still talking about that CNN poll from 3 weeks ago. And why is he talking about polls, when there are actual votes. Over half the country has already voted on the GOP side
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344
« Reply #8 on: March 15, 2016, 09:15:00 PM »
The man who pissed away $120M running the Jeb Bush super pac is on MSNBC now and started out by saying "I need a drink"
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