Maine

[Xing]

It is way too soon to be assuming that Maine is going to be a solid Republican state. It was shockingly close in 2016, but so was Montana in 2008, and we saw how quickly Montana swung back to the Republicans. One election cycle is not enough to determine a trend. If Poliquin wins in a good year for Democrats and Republicans hold the governor's race or come very close, then we'd have more evidence that Maine is trending Republican. I think the jury's still out though, and I could easily see Maine (ME-02 especially) swinging heavily back to the Democrats in 2018/2020.

[Xing]

It is way too soon to be assuming that Maine is going to be a solid Republican state. It was shockingly close in 2016, but so was Montana in 2008, and we saw how quickly Montana swung back to the Republicans. One election cycle is not enough to determine a trend. If Poliquin wins in a good year or Democrats and Republicans hold the governor's race or come very close, then we'd have more evidence that Maine is trending Republican. I think the jury's still out though, and I could easily see Maine (ME-02 especially) swinging heavily back to the Democrats in 2018/2020.

I agree with this. It gets annoying when people say a state or district is trending away from one party or the other based solely on a single Presidential race.

Exactly. People didn't say Indiana was Lean D after 2008. Maine, and Northern Maine in particular, will sing a lot in elections.

Will Maine sing acapella?

No, a New Hampshire band of angry women will back it up on the drums.