VA: Fabrizio, Lee and Associates: Biden +4 (H2H), Biden +1 (4-way), Biden +3 (6-way) in Trump internal poll
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  VA: Fabrizio, Lee and Associates: Biden +4 (H2H), Biden +1 (4-way), Biden +3 (6-way) in Trump internal poll		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: VA: Fabrizio, Lee and Associates: Biden +4 (H2H), Biden +1 (4-way), Biden +3 (6-way) in Trump internal poll  (Read 625 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 04, 2024, 08:42:41 PM »
New Poll: Virginia President by Fabrizio, Lee and Associates on 2024-05-05

Summary: D: 40%, R: 37%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Fusternino
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« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2024, 10:07:34 PM »
Wasn't this outfit off by like 5+ for AZ in 2022?
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2024, 10:23:13 PM »
Quote from: Fusternino on May 04, 2024, 10:07:34 PM
Wasn't this outfit off by like 5+ for AZ in 2022?

Yes, but 2022 never happened.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: May 05, 2024, 02:22:25 AM »
Biden is gonna win VA no big surprise
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #4 on: May 05, 2024, 03:20:04 AM »
(Repeat of what I said in the MN thread).

Trump internal with incomplete info. Who did they poll in the 6 way contest? Who did they poll in the 4 way? No methodology or crosstabs given. I rarely say ignore any particular poll but without more info we can ignore this one.

This poll really should not be included in the database.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #5 on: May 05, 2024, 08:02:55 AM »
FWIW 2022 congressional was only D+3ish in aggregate in VA.  2023 state legislature was D+2ish.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: May 05, 2024, 08:12:01 AM »
Zogby tried it's best to have Trump lead in Va
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #7 on: May 05, 2024, 09:55:58 AM »
Trumps own internal had Biden +4 in a H2H? Yeah it's not happening lol
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DrScholl
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« Reply #8 on: May 05, 2024, 10:23:45 AM »
I could make up a poll with Trump up 10% in Virginia and it would get included in the database because the Trump bias on this site is so ridiculous.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #9 on: May 05, 2024, 10:36:18 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 05, 2024, 09:55:58 AM
Trumps own internal had Biden +4 in a H2H? Yeah it's not happening lol

I mean the average of the 2 way and the 4 way is right in line with 2022 aggregate results in VA.  And there have been a ton of polls with Republicans overperforming the national swing in the South, sometimes dramatically.  The military vote also snapped back right in 2022.  I don't think a 2022 or 2012 style result in VA is crazy at all.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: May 05, 2024, 10:50:30 AM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on May 05, 2024, 10:36:18 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 05, 2024, 09:55:58 AM
Trumps own internal had Biden +4 in a H2H? Yeah it's not happening lol

I mean the average of the 2 way and the 4 way is right in line with 2022 aggregate results in VA.  And there have been a ton of polls with Republicans overperforming the national swing in the South, sometimes dramatically.  The military vote also snapped back right in 2022.  I don't think a 2022 or 2012 style result in VA is crazy at all.

I don't think it's crazy, but if Trump's own internal has it at Biden +3/4, and 2022 - a harder year for Reps - was D+3, there's a lot pointing to it at least being a few more points blue than both of those.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11 on: May 09, 2024, 09:31:53 AM »
Turns out these (VA +MN) polls were actually McLaughlin

https://x.com/MarcACaputo/status/1787921700073480673
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: May 09, 2024, 10:27:33 AM »
Really desperate stuff from the Trump campaign to be putting out garbage like this.
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