2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original (user search)
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  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original  (Read 208020 times)
henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,016
« on: January 19, 2018, 05:19:36 PM »
I think 4-6 is enough.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,016
« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2018, 12:37:53 PM »
When was the last time either party won the GCB by double digits? Even in 2010 & 1994 it was only around +7. I think the notion that Dems have to win the House by X number is unfounded.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,016
« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2018, 01:24:44 PM »
I think Dems will narrowly miss taking the House, big gains in CA,PA,NY and other suburban districts but middling elsewhere notably the rust belt to get to the 210-216 range. Hopefully Pelosi will finally get the boot then.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,016
« Reply #3 on: January 23, 2018, 05:27:06 PM »
I think the Cali seats are going to be a lot tougher than people think. The whole 'sanctuary state' stuff may be energizing conservatives there.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,016
« Reply #4 on: March 08, 2018, 04:31:07 PM »
This is the fault of a lot of liberal blogs and twitterers who hype this stuff up, same thing happened in 2016. McDonald was one of the worst offenders and people keep doing it. Thankfully there is no EV in PA-18 otherwise people would by hyperventilating over #s.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,016
« Reply #5 on: March 25, 2018, 03:20:37 PM »
I feel like we have the 'GOP surging' talk every month now.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,016
« Reply #6 on: April 16, 2018, 09:45:55 AM »
Haven’t most GCB polls been adults anyways?
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,016
« Reply #7 on: May 13, 2018, 12:59:04 PM »
Dems need to amend Top Two so that if the top two are of the same party then a third candidate of the next biggest party is automatically added.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,016
« Reply #8 on: May 22, 2018, 11:16:46 PM »
I'm really annoyed at the media basically ignoring races like VA-GOV, AL-SEN, PA-18, AZ-08 acting like they never happened instead of relying on funky polls for narratives.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,016
« Reply #9 on: May 23, 2018, 10:08:47 PM »
Why are people obsessing over every movement of the Reuters poll?
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,016
« Reply #10 on: May 26, 2018, 02:04:15 PM »
How many articles and narratives were made over a likely computer error?
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,016
« Reply #11 on: June 02, 2018, 06:47:38 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on June 02, 2018, 06:43:05 PM
I was looking at YouTube videos and how they say, there is a path to GOP retaining Congress. Given,  the recent polling of late,  it isn't out the realm of possibilities now.

All we have is the garbage online polls Reuters, YouGov, MC all of them have shown wild swings. Two days ago Reuters was D+8 and now D+2, wait for live caller polls to make any conclusions.
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