UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread
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Author Topic: UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread  (Read 75548 times)
Philly D.
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« Reply #450 on: December 12, 2019, 09:01:11 PM »

CON gain Leigh; the blowout is on.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #451 on: December 12, 2019, 09:02:34 PM »


Wow this one had NEVER been held by the Conservatives.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #452 on: December 12, 2019, 09:03:25 PM »


Yeah that was at the tail end of their potential gains. Were getting a polarizing picture tonight between the SNP, London, and The northern Tories.
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super6646
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« Reply #453 on: December 12, 2019, 09:04:26 PM »


Wow this one had NEVER been held by the Conservatives.

Just curious, when was the seat created?
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DistingFlyer
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« Reply #454 on: December 12, 2019, 09:04:33 PM »

Some new results in the North West:

Tories pick up Leigh on a 12.2% swing (biggest yet, I think) - this has been Liberal or Labour since 1885;
Labour hold Knowsley with only a 1.7% swing against them; and
Labour hold Makerfield with a 9.0% swing against them.

All three constituencies are estimated to have voted 'Leave,' but no prizes for guessing which one did so by the smallest margin.
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Storr
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« Reply #455 on: December 12, 2019, 09:06:04 PM »

Labour gain Birkenhead.
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DistingFlyer
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« Reply #456 on: December 12, 2019, 09:07:02 PM »

I didn't check before the result came in: does anybody know what odds the BBC gave for Leigh going down? It certainly wasn't on the 'likely' list.
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jaichind
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« Reply #457 on: December 12, 2019, 09:07:32 PM »


Open seat and heavy remain area.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #458 on: December 12, 2019, 09:07:50 PM »


You mean hold?
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #459 on: December 12, 2019, 09:08:35 PM »

CON just took the lead on the popular vote for the 1st time tonight.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #460 on: December 12, 2019, 09:09:24 PM »

CNN International's coverage is abysmal, as expected.  Their Analyst With The Big Digital MapTM just claimed that Alliance has never held a seat in Parliament before.  Naomi Long would like a word.
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n1240
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« Reply #461 on: December 12, 2019, 09:09:29 PM »

I didn't check before the result came in: does anybody know what odds the BBC gave for Leigh going down? It certainly wasn't on the 'likely' list.

50/50, I wrote that all of the probabilities for the too close to call seats a couple hours ago
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #462 on: December 12, 2019, 09:10:17 PM »


Frank Field left Labour last year.  Labour just won it back from him.
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DistingFlyer
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« Reply #463 on: December 12, 2019, 09:10:38 PM »

While we wait for Sedgefield, here's another former Labour leader's constituency in: Islwyn has been held (obviously), but with a 7.8% swing against them. This is their smallest victory there since 1918 (when they gained it from the Liberals 54%-46%).
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izixs
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« Reply #464 on: December 12, 2019, 09:10:47 PM »

I'm curious to see if the Labor losses end up being such that they can finally go full anti-Brexit after this as they'll be less concerned with trying to appease the ridiculous folks on the issue.
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Storr
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« Reply #465 on: December 12, 2019, 09:10:52 PM »

The guardian shows this:
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adma
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« Reply #466 on: December 12, 2019, 09:12:45 PM »

Barnsley E: Labour plummeted 22 points: 37.6 vs Brexit 29.2 (!), two points ahead of Tories.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #467 on: December 12, 2019, 09:13:01 PM »


Copy that.
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DistingFlyer
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« Reply #468 on: December 12, 2019, 09:13:35 PM »

Tories pick up Clwyd South on a 7.5% swing; northern Wales has certainly been good to them so far.

Labour hold Swansea West with only a 2.8% swing against them.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #469 on: December 12, 2019, 09:15:11 PM »

Imagine being a 60 year old British guy from the northeast who has voted Labour his entire life, hates Thatcher with a passion, but looks at Boris and goes “hey I know he went to the most elite school in the country and was born into wealth but he wears his hair in a weird style so yeah I think he’s one of us”

Well Labour has never nominated someone as horrible as Corbyn before

You know what? That's fair. Not that it excuses opting for f**king Boris Johnson instead, but it is true.
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Intell
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« Reply #470 on: December 12, 2019, 09:16:04 PM »

Hot take: Labour would have lost these Northern seats no matter what candidate was leader. Corbyn might have stopped more urban middle class areas swing hard to labour, and that may have been his failure.
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DistingFlyer
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« Reply #471 on: December 12, 2019, 09:20:25 PM »

Labour hold Llanelli with an 8.8% swing against them.

BBC gave only a 50% chance of the Tories picking up Gower, but I'll wager now that they've won it.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #472 on: December 12, 2019, 09:21:25 PM »

Jo Swinson is about to be unseated. Best moment of the night coming soon.
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n1240
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« Reply #473 on: December 12, 2019, 09:21:56 PM »

Hartlepool held by Labour with considerable majority despite exit poll giving Tories 51% chance to win.

Bury North and Bury South both reportedly heading towards recounts, both too close to call seats.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #474 on: December 12, 2019, 09:22:23 PM »



i guess only one of the Tories or brexit should have seriously contested here.
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