Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]

[CPT MikeyMike]

We will not see any bounce until after Clinton speack tonight..

True....but which way?!?

Anyhow the Clinton speech probably will not be seen until Thursday's, more likely Friday's poll.

[Sam Spade]

Interesting...  Anyway, with the Clinton speech, you hope it's the right kind of speech, getting the right kind of bounce.

[Josh/Devilman88]

We will not see any bounce until after Clinton speack tonight..

True....but which way?!?

Anyhow the Clinton speech probably will not be seen until Thursday's, more likely Friday's poll.

Yea tell me about it, but I hope Clinton don't srew the Democratic party over tonight.

[J. J.]

No convention bounce yet, that polling probably was conducted before the convention started.

There should have been a slight bounce from naming a Veep.

[Josh/Devilman88]

No convention bounce yet, that polling probably was conducted before the convention started.

There should have been a slight bounce from naming a Veep.

Not really, alot of people don't know who Joe Biden is, unless you live in DE/PA or a political jukie..

[Umengus]

lol, no veep bounce. clinton supporters waited probably that HRC would be nominated and are angry. Obama, you can still change! Obama, the VP change we can believe in!!!!!!!

[Josh/Devilman88]

lol, no veep bounce. clinton supporters waited probably that HRC would be nominated and are angry. Obama, you can still change! Obama, the VP change we can believe in!!!!!!!

Turst me if Obama would have picked Clinton as VP he would have lost more voters then he would have gained.

[Democratic Hawk]

For now, Clinton supporters may have reacted badly enough to Obama selecting Biden to make things with McCain a dead heat

Dave

[Eraserhead]

Well, this certainly isn't good.

[J. J.]

No convention bounce yet, that polling probably was conducted before the convention started.

There should have been a slight bounce from naming a Veep.

Not really, alot of people don't know who Joe Biden is, unless you live in DE/PA or a political jukie..

But enough do that it should be a decline, plus it removes the uncertainty.

[Josh/Devilman88]

If McCain is still tied or ahead after Sat then Obama is going to have a hard time winning.

[CPT MikeyMike]

Wednesday - August 27, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

McCain: 44% / 47%, including leaners (NC, +1)
Obama: 44% / 46%, including leaners (NC, NC)

Favorability

McCain: 56% favorable  (-1)
Obama: 53% favorable  (NC)

This is the first time since August 9 that McCain has held any advantage over Obama. The candidates have been within two points of each other on every day but two for the past month.

Today, as the Democratic National Convention focuses on national security issues, confidence in the War on Terror—and the situation in Iraq--has reached an all-time high. More Americans trust Democrats than Republicans on national security issues but McCain is trusted more than Obama. Polling conducted last night shows that 52% of voters trust McCain more on National Security issues while 41% trust Obama.

[Bay Ridge, Bklyn! Born and Bred]

How's the 3rd most liberal member of the senate and plagarizer as veep doin' for ya?   "Houston, we have a problem."

LMAO!

[Josh/Devilman88]

How's the 3rd most liberal member of the senate and plagarizer as veep doin' for ya?   "Houston, we have a problem."

LMAO!

You do know it is still summer, and alot of people still arent that much into the race yet. Also I believe this McCain bounce is fake, due to the crazy Hilliary fans saying they will vote for McCain in the polls. Trust me come Friday Obama will be back up by a few points.

[CPT MikeyMike]

Here is where Rasmussen was the day Obama announced Biden as his running mate.

Hope you don't mind me updating this. If you do, tough!

Saturday, August 23, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

Obama: 45% / 48%, including leaners (nc, +1)
McCain: 42% / 46%, including leaners (-1, nc)

Favorability

Obama: 55% favorable, (-1)
McCain: 56% favorable, (+1)

And if you look at today - it is only a 1-2 point change. It insignificant. I'm not buying this Biden crap.

Wait until Sunday or Monday for Obama's post convention.

[Josh/Devilman88]

People are buy way to much in this polls, once both conventions are held that is when the true numbers come out.

[HardRCafé]

You left out the illuminati and the mother ship.

[J. J.]

Wednesday - August 27, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

McCain: 44% / 47%, including leaners (NC, +1)
Obama: 44% / 46%, including leaners (NC, NC)

Favorability

McCain: 56% favorable  (-1)
Obama: 53% favorable  (NC)

This is not good news for Obama.  There should should be some movement toward him at this point.  The Clinton's and Obama's may make that difference.  Maybe Gallup will show it.

[Sam Spade]

Wednesday - August 27, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

McCain: 44% / 47%, including leaners (NC, +1)
Obama: 44% / 46%, including leaners (NC, NC)

Favorability

McCain: 56% favorable  (-1)
Obama: 53% favorable  (NC)

This is not good news for Obama.  There should should be some movement toward him at this point.  The Clinton's and Obama's may make that difference.  Maybe Gallup will show it.

Be patient.  It isn't too earlier for the VP thing, however.

[J. J.]

Wednesday - August 27, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

McCain: 44% / 47%, including leaners (NC, +1)
Obama: 44% / 46%, including leaners (NC, NC)

Favorability

McCain: 56% favorable  (-1)
Obama: 53% favorable  (NC)

This is not good news for Obama.  There should should be some movement toward him at this point.  The Clinton's and Obama's may make that difference.  Maybe Gallup will show it.

Be patient.  It isn't too earlier for the VP thing, however.

Biden was wrong choice, nationally.  That is obvious.  Obama should be at least holding at this point; he's not.

He is looking weaker as this thing rolls on.

[Person Man]

I mean, JJ has been very wrong before, then again, the democratic party simply might not function at the national level... or at least Obama's campaign.

[Brittain33]

Biden was wrong choice, nationally.  That is obvious.  Obama should be at least holding at this point; he's not.

I think Biden as a name didn't get Obama anything off the starting blocks, and may have hurt him by virtue of not being a woman. However, Biden in action has yet to make a mark. Whether he will or not, we'll see, but he was chosen for both his credentials and his fight.

[J. J.]

Biden was wrong choice, nationally.  That is obvious.  Obama should be at least holding at this point; he's not.

I think Biden as a name didn't get Obama anything off the starting blocks, and may have hurt him by virtue of not being a woman. However, Biden in action has yet to make a mark. Whether he will or not, we'll see, but he was chosen for both his credentials and his fight.

Biden was not that unknown. 

If you are presidential candidate, you've just announce your (not particularly controversial) VP candidate, you are are in day two of your convention, and your numbers are dropping, you may have a problem.  The only one that I think of where something even close to this has happened, where the nomination had been decided, was possibly Bush in 1992.  I don't think his numbers dropped, actually, just stayed the same.

Obama can save it, but the Stadium Speech is already being derided for the setting.  It may work out, but the signs so far are NOT favorable for Obama.

[Bay Ridge, Bklyn! Born and Bred]

Obama should have taken Larry Sabato's advice and chosen Bayh as his running mate.  I guarantee you he wouldn't be in this embarrassing predicament he finds himself in.  Losing in the polls after he chose his leftist, plagarizing running mate and during his own convention!   LOL.  Hilarious.

Independents, centrists, and undecideds are bailing on poor Obambi.   If McCain gets a small bump after he picks his running mate sometime on Thur or Friday, then Obama has some serious problems ahead.

[Sam Spade]

Biden was wrong choice, nationally.  That is obvious.  Obama should be at least holding at this point; he's not.

I think Biden as a name didn't get Obama anything off the starting blocks, and may have hurt him by virtue of not being a woman. However, Biden in action has yet to make a mark. Whether he will or not, we'll see, but he was chosen for both his credentials and his fight.

Biden was not that unknown. 

If you are presidential candidate, you've just announce your (not particularly controversial) VP candidate, you are are in day two of your convention, and your numbers are dropping, you may have a problem.  The only one that I think of where something even close to this has happened, where the nomination had been decided, was possibly Bush in 1992.  I don't think his numbers dropped, actually, just stayed the same.

Obama can save it, but the Stadium Speech is already being derided for the setting.  It may work out, but the signs so far are NOT favorable for Obama.

They weren't taking polls during day two of the convention in 1992, JJ.  And technically, this poll only includes day one of the convention, not day two.

The only conventions I recall with no bounce after the convention were McGovern 1972 and Bush 1992, though I may be forgetting something.  Whatever.  

I note that part of the reason why McGovern got no bounce was because his nominating speech occurred at 2AM.  Much like Obama's VP announcement.