2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Hysterically high "Not sure" number for YouGOV.

Moderate Hero Wulfric types blaming both sides equally?

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

PPP: D 49, R 38.  A month ago they had it 47-41.  http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2017/05/health-care-puts-house-in-play.html

Not good!

Bad!

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Nate Silver,

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Source.

Sweating like a dog!

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Via quinnipiac, Trump's approval in upstate NY has fallen to 38%. Could play a big role on if Michael Hein and/or Svante Myrick join races

Haven't upstate NY and the Upper Midwest tracked eerily close together in the past? If this keeps up that is bad news in MI, MN and WI.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Generally speaking if there was an election for Congress today, would you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate from your district?

48% Democrat
37% Republican

PPP

Beautiful!

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Monmouth, Dec 10-12, 806 adults

D 51
R 36

Trump approval: 32/56

That margin looks like a 80 seat pickup for the Democrats.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

So yeah Iowa doesn't like Trump or Blum right now https://amp.desmoinesregister.com/amp/945913001#click=https://t.co/hDgAUI3iTg

I have always thought it very odd how all the supposed geniuses here have permanently written off Iowa. Iowa until 2016 voted Democrat for 32 years and always had a Democratic PVI. Iowa is prone to massive swings and 2016 could have been a massive fluke.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

CNN generic ballot:

Democratic 56%
Republican 38%

great poll!

I want to see a 100 seat pickup. Triple digit gains.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Let's not forget that in the past college educated whites were the bedrock of the Republican coalition. Things are changing dramatically and they are trending Democratic fast. This group is also much more likely to vote compared to blue collar whites in off year midterm elections. Look at all the one time anti establishment voters who voted for the first time for Trump and to give a big FU to the establishment. I can't see them voting in 2018 with no Trump on the ballot, especially for some generic Republican establishment hack. Trump 2016 brought out a lot of first time voters like Obama in 08. We saw what happened to Obama's coalition in 2010.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Just your daily reminder....demographics ARE destiny. (GOP ded.)

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I think its unfair to not count Ole Miss Lindsey Graham, the southern belle from SC as a female Republican.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Yikes. That alone means all Clinton districts in California fall and probably a few surprises too.

Devin Nunes and maybe even Kevin McCarthy.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Ryan said on SOTU that he's undecided on running for re-election. Will decide in the spring.

I bet the March PA-18 special will wear heavy on his decision.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

I'm having trouble finding a source but apparently the GOP did an internal for Nunes that has in in serious danger of losing to Janz

Excellent, it seems his obstruction of justice will not go unpunished!