Why was Hillary expected to win (user search)
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  Why was Hillary expected to win (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why was Hillary expected to win  (Read 2875 times)
here2view
YaBB God
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Political Matrix
E: -2.13, S: -1.74

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« on: February 26, 2018, 08:46:35 AM »



Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine: 302
Donald Trump/Mike Pence: 236


This was my prediction on Election Day. Hillary was expected to win because: 1) She was ahead in the polls for the majority of the election, 2) She had better favorability ratings than Trump, even though hers were putrid, 3) Pundits thought the Democrats had an inherent advantage in the electoral college due to the "Blue Wall", 4) Obama had decent approval numbers, and 5) Regardless of peoples' feelings on Clinton, a lot of people felt a person like Trump could never win.
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here2view
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,688
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.13, S: -1.74

P P P
« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2018, 11:56:16 AM »

Trump flopped over the line by less than 100,000 votes in 3 states. That's people being put off by the Comey thing, and people waking up and thinking 'Hillary is going to win anyway, lets stay in bed'

I love when people use the “100,000 votes in three states” argument, while ignoring the fact that he won IA, OH, ME-02, and FL in addition to MI, WI, and PA. Not to mention that MN and ME-AL went from Democratic landslides in 2012 to within three points in 2016.

But please, continue to parrot the talking point that it was just three meager wins that put Trump in office. That kind of hubris will be very helpful in our path to victory in 2020.

Uh, it was because if he doesn't win those states as well he loses the election 278-260.
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