Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,188
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« on: October 23, 2017, 01:08:24 PM » |
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A lot of those polls having Trump in 3rd and 4th place were accurate. There were many precincts and several of the wards in DC with black majorities where Trump was 3rd behind Johnson or Stein or outright last.
Trump was able to siphon some black male votes from Hillary. She got the overwhelming majority but she collapsed among black men under 50. Older black males (50+/Civil Rights era) was the only group where she matched Obama.
And of course you had lower black turnout + black Republicans defecting back after Obama.
I believe Trump will do historically bad in 2020. He did the worst among GOP candidates running against a white candidate since Goldwater. I can see Biden obliterating him in a fashion comparable to LBJ or Obama 2012.
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