Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

What is strange to me is that on one hand, this seems like it should be a huge story on the face or it, and yet as far as I can tell it hasn't been picked up by any of the national media at all, nor have any of the leading house election analysts (Silver/Cohn/Wasserman) given any comment on it, suggesting this is just some technicality than can be safely ignored.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Even without any hard evidence, this seems like exactly the sort of thing Rachel Maddow would spend the first 50 minutes of her show teasing out all the rumors over.  But nope, tonight is yet another episode on Russian collusion, rehashing Senate committee testimony from last year.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Given that is sounds like the alleged fraud may have targeted both the incumbent Republican and the Democratic challenger, this may be a highly unusual circumstance (at least in this political environment) where we actually see a reasonably bipartisan investigation.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Whatever happened with NC's maps getting struck down? Is that still a thing? If so, this election could end up being even more irrelevant.

The maps were still struck down in federal court and if the decision stands, will need to be redrawn before the 2020 elections.  But I think it is very likely this decision will be reversed by the Supreme Court, so the existing districts will stand.

There is also a suit in state court which was recently filed, but as I understand it, it pertains only to the state legislative maps, not the congressional ones.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

https://twitter.com/Politics1com/status/1100841727500394496

This seems like an absurdly long campaign for one year of a congressional term.  Ten weeks between the primary and the run-off is just dumb.  France holds their general election run-off for president two weeks after the first round...why not at least do that?

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

If Dems can come anywhere near this close in the Presidential race in NC-09 next year, they’ll win the state easily, right?

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

After looking at the 2016 map, I'm kinda shocked that the Dem doesn't do even better than Mecklenberg County - Hillary won it by 30% in 2016, so kinda surprised McCready only won by 9% and 12% in 2016 and 2018. The fact that it's trending BLUER on the local level means Trump is probably in for a world of hurt in that county in 2020.

Most of Mecklenberg is in the 12th district, not the 9th.
Hillary won the portion of the county in the 12th district by 40 points, but lost the portion in the 9th by 3 points.