How many Governorships will Democrats lose in 2012?

[scoopa]

I think NC is gone. Likely R.

McKenna is the best possible recruit for the republicans in WA, but Inslee is a very solid one for the dems too. I'd say Gregoire's unpopularity make it a toss-up/tilt R. If it wasn't a presidential year or if there wasn't mail voting, McKenna would win.

I think LaMontagne is favoured to win in New Hampshire unless Romney isn't the nominee or there's a competitive primary with Ted Gantsas. Slightly lean R.

Montana is hard to say, need to see how the Republican primary develops and Bullock is a good candidate for the Democrats. If it's Bullock vs. Hill, I'd rate it a pure tossup.

West Virginia is lean D unless Maloney enters the race. With Obama on the dem ticket, it could quickly become a race. I don't believe he wants to run again so soon though (and he shouldn't).

Missouri is safe/likely D, depending on which Republican candidates enter the race now that Kinder is gone.

I don't think Democrats will pick IN or UT. Not with Obama on the ticket. I also doubt they can beat Walker on a recall election.