FL PrimR: Dixie Strategies/First Coast News: Newt now tied with Romney

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Florida President by Dixie Strategies/First Coast News on 2012-01-28

Summary:

Gingrich:	36%
Romney:	35%
Santorum:	9%
Paul:	7%
Other:	4%
Undecided:	9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Eraserhead]

Crap poll.

[Yelnoc]

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lol?

[RI]

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lol?

It has 2600 participants, so that isn't terribly surprising.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

I hope so, but I somehow doubt it

[Simfan34]

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lol?

It has 2600 participants, so that isn't terribly surprising.

With that many, I'm disinclined to deem it fake.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I'd say it's a bad poll, with it not matching up with the other polls, but with over 2,500 people polled, it looks pretty good.  Then again, there's always the chance that it's in the 5%, which people often forget about.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I fixed a couple things: You had the wrong date (it's January 25, not 23), and Gingrich only had 35%.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Updated database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012R/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1220120125176

[Tender Branson]

I fixed a couple things: You had the wrong date (it's January 25, not 23), and Gingrich only had 35%.

I always tend to round things like 35,49% up to 36% and so on ...

[Mr. Morden]

Just because you poll a lot of people doesn't mean the poll is any good.

Remember, the quoted margin of error is just the statistical error, not the systematic error.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Just because you poll a lot of people doesn't mean the poll is any good.

Remember, the quoted margin of error is just the statistical error, not the systematic error.

I would love to know where this idea came from the larger = more accurate.

In 2006, if was at 1,000 or so, everyone always said it was an indication that it was of less quality then polls with 300-500. The same way people claim the use of decimal points indicates it is of less quality. They are playing a game and trying to make you think they are better then they actually are by giving a large sample or in case of decimals by giving impossible levels of precision (hundredths, thousandts, etc). In doing so, they ironically communicate their lack of reliability.

[Associate Justice PiT]

I'd say it's a bad poll, with it not matching up with the other polls, but with over 2,500 people polled, it looks pretty good.  Then again, there's always the chance that it's in the 5%, which people often forget about.

     Eh, the 5% are typically very close to the margin of error, anyway. This poll has about a five-sigma discrepancy, which is crazy. Of course, Mr. Morden is right; this poll could have just been designed by idiots.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I fixed a couple things: You had the wrong date (it's January 25, not 23), and Gingrich only had 35%.

I always tend to round things like 35,49% up to 36% and so on ...

As a math minor who's taken numerous statistics classes, I have a slight urge to hit you right now.