Yougov/economist - Tie

[MR DARK BRANDON]

https://x.com/ppollingnumbers/status/1788211162976252271?s=46

Biden - 43
Trump - 43

[Matty]

Another poll showing Biden surging from last week. Anyone know what it causing it?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump legal troubles and we are about to vote, when it gets close to time we vote voters are gonna regret voting for Trump

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Another poll showing Biden surging from last week. Anyone know what it causing it?

Probably protests getting out of the news

[Skill and Chance]

Another poll showing Biden surging from last week. Anyone know what it causing it?

Probably protests getting out of the news

Hasn't YouGov pretty much always been a tie +/- 2?  This is almost surely noise, just like Trump gaining 1% in Morning Consult is also almost surely noise. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not really tied folks, just like Trump isn't ahead by 4 in PA there are statistics more Ds than Rs in this country we outvoted R 900/700K votes in PA on 4/23 and polls still have an R bias

 I never look at crosstabs because they are JUNKIE

[Redban]

Noem at - 14% unfavorables (23/36), and a whopping 41% of registered voters suggest they are unfamilar with her

39% of RVs and 47% of all adults haven't heard about her shooting the dog. So there's much potential for her to fall further. Best to avoid being seen with her on the campaign trail

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You can tell there are polls bias because I was an Eday clerk in CA there was regret among voters about J6, these were middle class whites and PA, WI and MI, NV, NH, AZ and GA and NC are Ds base and they don't like Trump

I have FL and TX as wave insurance because my cuz says that S race in TX is a battleground, even in TX and FL some don't like Trump

The polls are lying, to draw a narrative , just like they have PA Trump up 4 and we outvoted Trump 900/700K on 4/23 and Rs not Ds believe them, and it's 5/7/24

[Progressive Pessimist]

Another poll showing Biden surging from last week. Anyone know what it causing it?

I don't know, but I'll take it and I hope it continues on that trajectory until November.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Last week's version of this poll was Trump+1, so that's a pretty small surge, but yes it's better than nothing.

It's possible there was a YouGov poll for another sponsor since then (I don't recall offhand) but if so, it shouldn't be directly compared to the YouGov/Economist polls -- the sponsor influences the weighting and methodology choices.

[KakyoinMemeHouse]

Another positive shift for Biden, coincides with the other recent shifts.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I know Larki thinks it's not tied and gives Trump the advantage but the reality is it's not tied but Biden has the advantage more Ds in this world than Rs

[wbrocks67]

Another poll showing Biden surging from last week. Anyone know what it causing it?

Probably protests getting out of the news

Hasn't YouGov pretty much always been a tie +/- 2?  This is almost surely noise, just like Trump gaining 1% in Morning Consult is also almost surely noise. 

Yeah, I'm gonna need MC and YouGov to start doing LV models or something. It's the same Trump +1 to Biden +1 every week with both at this point (and both only at like 43-43)