Slate/Votecastr real time election projections

[MasterJedi]

Remember 2004 guys, "it looks like a landslide folks!".

[MasterJedi]

It appears the Slate site updated FL total votes now... with Clinton just under 90k votes away from Obama's total in 2012. Trump still 270k away from Romney total.

If this model is correct, the polls were very wrong in FL.

If it's correct looks like polls underestimated Clinton everywhere or overestimated Trump everywhere. Based on this model, Clinton will win FL by at least 3 or 4 and she could win both OH and IA in a very very close race.

If it's true (I think it is), all the polls will have pretty much vastly underestimated Clinton's Hispanic support.

[MasterJedi]

And the bad news for Trump keeps coming:

Update: 3:06 p.m.: The state maps previously displayed on this page represented only Election Day data but not early vote estimates. They have been removed and will be reposted when they are updated.

Why it is a bad news?

Because the election day vote will be much more conservative than the early votes.

[MasterJedi]

Because the election day vote will be much more conservative than the early votes.

Yeah. So why is this bad?

Because they were modeling the early vote to look like the election day vote. Come on, seriously, you can be this dense.