Louisiana Nov 16, 2019 Run-Off Election Results thread

[One Term Floridian]

I'm going to do my best tonight to keep a spreadsheet by parish with somewhat live updates showing the swings compared to 2015, both in table & map form:

Map/Table, LA-Gov 2015-2019 County Swing Etc

I'll feed parish-by-parish data into the table and map every 15 minutes or so once results start flowing in reliably.

Great! Been wanting to see the massive swings that are inevitably gonna happen throughout the state

[One Term Floridian]

yeah rispone probably has this

Aaaaaaaaaand there’s my cue to leave Atlas until at least 50% of precincts have actually come in lmao

[One Term Floridian]

CNN for some reason doesnt have this race up on their website and their covering lol the Nixon Tapes on TV

CNN barely covered MS & KY results until it actually looked like Beshear was on track to win. It’s always “zomg <insert R state/district here> just went blue; Trump screwed in 2020??!?!”

[One Term Floridian]

Yeah I think JBE will win this by about a point or 2. Concern trolls should wait at least an hour after polls close to start posting here lol

[One Term Floridian]

Rispone up 3000 votes 60% in

Wait till u start seeing how many votes he’ll be down by once Orleans actually seriously starts reporting lol

[One Term Floridian]

Rispone up 7000 votes 67% in!

Edwards up 9000 votes 91% in!

[One Term Floridian]

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius

And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here

I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

Your sheer arrogance/stupidity/trolling/whatever is astounding

[One Term Floridian]

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius

And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here

I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

Arrogance like that won’t make you a lot of friends here

I don't care . I'm a successful 33 year old Male.  I don't care what Democrat hacks on the internet think of me.

[One Term Floridian]

As for the national implications of Kentucky and Louisiana: yeah, it's true that we largely won on the basis of Bevin being a steaming pile of f**k and Edwards continuously remaining popular, but - to put it the way another poster above me put it - if this is actually a lasting trend in our favor, which we can apply to Georgia and Texas, the GOP is absolutely boned next year.

Assuming that the GOP hasn't max'ed out their rural numbers yet.

Depending on a dying portion of the country isn’t a long-term winning strat tho. The Dems’ winning over suburbs is a really big deal

[One Term Floridian]

Crunching some quick and rough numbers: in all the (6 counties) that swung to JBE compared to 2015, he netted about 30k votes.

He leads by 40k as of now, meaning that if he had performed exactly as in 2015 in Orleans, Jefferson, St Tammany (+ SC, SJB & East Carroll), he would have staved off just enough losses elsewhere to eek out a win regardless; something akin to the KY margin (~0.5 point win).

Incredible.

[One Term Floridian]

Yeah. Dems doing badly in the suburbs is really bad for us if it keeps up, and there's no denying that. That's why we need Nikki Haley on the ballot in 2024.

Highly doubt Trumpism is just gonna disappear by then though

[One Term Floridian]

Yeah. Dems doing badly in the suburbs is really bad for us if it keeps up, and there's no denying that. That's why we need Nikki Haley on the ballot in 2024.

Her chances of ever winning a Republican primary ended when she took down the Confederate flag at the SC statehouse.

Yawn. "Muh racist Republicans"

Yawn all you want, but look at what happened to many of the lawmakers in GA when they voted to remove the Confederate flag back in the day

[One Term Floridian]

https://twitter.com/ashtonpittman/status/1195926921269456896

lmao

Lol anyone remember when the former stander bearer of the LA GOP actually said that