How many states do Biden/Sanders/Bloomberg win on Super Tuesday?
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  How many states do Biden/Sanders/Bloomberg win on Super Tuesday?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: How many states does X win on Super Tuesday?
#1
1-3 (Biden)		  
#2
4-6 (Biden)		  
#3
7-9 (Biden)		  
#4
10+ (Biden)		  
#5
1-3 (Bernie)		  
#6
4-6 (Bernie)		  
#7
7-9 (Bernie)		  
#8
10+ (Bernie)		  
#9
0 (Bloomberg)		  
#10
1-3 (Bloomberg)		  
#11
4-6 (Bloomberg)		  
#12
7-9 (Bloomberg)		  
#13
10+ (Bloomberg)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 50

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: How many states do Biden/Sanders/Bloomberg win on Super Tuesday?  (Read 813 times)
Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #25 on: March 02, 2020, 12:32:20 PM »
Safe Bernie: Vermont, Colorado
Likely Bernie: Utah, Maine, California
Lean Bernie: Massachusetts
Tossup/Tilt Bernie: Texas
Tossup/Tilt Biden: Virginia
Lean Biden: Oklahoma
Likely Biden: North Carolina
Safe Biden: Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee

Lean Other: Minnesota (KLOB)

Bernie's having a good night if he wins Virginia and/or Oklahoma. Biden's having a good night if he wins Texas and Warren wins Massachusetts.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #26 on: March 02, 2020, 12:34:55 PM »
CA is safe Bernie, not likely
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #27 on: March 02, 2020, 12:48:53 PM »
I have Bernie winning 6 (CA, ME, MA, CO, UT, VT); Biden winning 7 (TX, NC, VA, TN, OK, AR, AL); Klobuchar winning MN. I am not confident on TX, OK, TN or NC and could see those going either way.
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« Reply #28 on: March 02, 2020, 01:45:19 PM »
Safe Sanders: CA, CO, UT, VT
Likely Sanders: ME
Lean Sanders: MA, MN
Tossup: TX, VA
Lean Biden: OK
Likely Biden: NC
Safe Biden: AL, AR, TN

Bloomberg has a small chance to win OK or AR, but is likely going to win nothing.
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Blue3
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« Reply #29 on: March 03, 2020, 07:21:12 AM »
Any last guesses?
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AGA
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« Reply #30 on: March 03, 2020, 07:24:34 AM »
Biden: AL, AR, NC, OK, TN, TX, VA

Sanders: CA, CO, ME, MA, MN, UT, VT

Bloomberg: None
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #31 on: March 03, 2020, 08:02:27 AM »
Safe Biden: AL
Lean Biden: AR, TN, NC, VA
Tilt Biden: OK
Tilt Warren: MA
Tilt Sanders: TX
Lean Sanders: MN
Likely Sanders: CO, ME, UT
Safe Sanders: CA, VT

The difference between 'lean' and 'likely' in these is a difference in confidence, not margins. I could easily see some states I have as 'lean' having wider margins than a 'likely' state.
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« Reply #32 on: March 04, 2020, 03:20:19 PM »
Quote from: RIP Bloomberg on March 02, 2020, 01:45:19 PM
Safe Sanders: CA, CO, UT, VT
Likely Sanders: ME
Lean Sanders: MA, MN
Tossup: TX, VA
Lean Biden: OK
Likely Biden: NC
Safe Biden: AL, AR, TN

Bloomberg has a small chance to win OK or AR, but is likely going to win nothing.
Biden literally won everything I marked as not Safe Sanders.
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