UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) (user search)
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  UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) (search mode)
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Author Topic: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)  (Read 177745 times)
cp
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Posts: 1,612
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« on: May 07, 2015, 04:19:59 PM »


Yes. The 2010 exit polls slightly overestimated the Tories and Lib Dems, and slightly underestimated Labour.

With the numbers that have been reported, that could be enough to deny the Tories/Lib Dems a majority

Also, keep in mind the Israeli election in March. The exit polls showed a tight race. Likud ended up running away with it once the votes were actually tallied.
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cp
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Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2015, 04:27:35 PM »


It's possible: they have been wrong before and sometimes massively. Of course (alas) they are sometimes also right. We have to wait.

The early seat calls up in North England suddenly have more meaning, don't they?  Nuneaton (sp) will be a good reality check.

look at how close Sunderland Central is in half an hour or so

What should we look for? What numbers would indicate a pro-Tory or pro-Labour discrepancy in the exit poll?
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