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May 19, 2024, 11:35:11 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 11:33:14 AM 
Started by Logical - Last post by Torrain
Per BBC Persia:
  • The helicoptor has still not been found.
  • Major weather system expected to bring serious rain overnight, slowing efforts.
  • 3 Red Crescent rescue volunteers have gone missing in the search.

 2 
 on: Today at 11:33:13 AM 
Started by Logical - Last post by CookieDamage
Rest in Piss

 3 
 on: Today at 11:32:55 AM 
Started by Ashley Biden's Diary - Last post by Alcibiades
Yes if I was talking to Castilian Franco nostalgists, no if I was talking to FYIGM-minded Puigdemont cultists.

 4 
 on: Today at 11:32:41 AM 
Started by AncestralDemocrat. - Last post by Skill and Chance
We’re in a weird place right now where the national polls are looking better for Biden but the swing state polls are still looking pretty bad for him. However this looks to be the same polling outfit that showed close races in the rust belt trio.

I’m not skilled enough to offer a thorough explanation for this, but I still feel better about Biden’s chances compared to a few months ago.

I don't think the national polls are looking that great for Biden?  It generally averages to Trump by less than +1.  Biden does have a few +1 or +2 leads out there, but that's not really consistent with the median state in the EC being all that competitive.  If 2020 was Biden +2, he probably gains nothing over Clinton 2016 in the EC except maybe Michigan.  If you assume Trump is getting an additional 1-2% out of NYC and Florida, maybe that nets Biden Pennsylvania and Michigan while Trump wins all his other 2016 states (and with the clear Hispanic R trend, NV).  That's basically what current state polling looks like.  Biden might be up in PA and/or MI but he's in huge trouble everywhere else, and state level polling in WI understates Trump like nobody's business.

 5 
 on: Today at 11:31:45 AM 
Started by Cyrusman - Last post by Cyrusman
Considering how many awful polls there have been for her, is there any chance the GOP goes with Mark Lamb?
Clearly there’s a ton of Trump-Gallego voters out there.

 6 
 on: Today at 11:30:49 AM 
Started by Logical - Last post by Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin

While losing contact like this obviously isn't good news for Iran's predient and his party, autorotation is a thing, and helicopters have different landing options that aircrafts. (How well the Iranian military trains its pilots for emergency landings under autorotation, I have no idea.)

 7 
 on: Today at 11:29:12 AM 
Started by wbrocks67 - Last post by wbrocks67
He also called for more than a cease-fire, and a 2-state solution


 8 
 on: Today at 11:28:03 AM 
Started by wbrocks67 - Last post by wbrocks67

 9 
 on: Today at 11:27:47 AM 
Started by Virginiá - Last post by Storr
"A fascinating new poll by Levada. Asked if they would support ending the war if Putin decided to do so, 71% of Russian respondents agree (21% are opposed). Asked if they would support ending the war while returning the annexed territories to Ukraine, 30% agree (60% are opposed).

Considering the challenges of conducting polling in Russia, I find it quite amazing that 30% are in favor of returning to the status quo ante (I imagine to Feb 2022, not to pre-2014). On the other hand, 60% want to fight on if peace meant losing the annexed territories.

None of this actually means much in terms of the Kremlin's policy. I imagine that if asked if they wanted  war in Feb. 2022, a healthy majority of Russians would have said "this is insane". And yet Putin chose war on their behalf.

But on the whole, this suggests a more nuanced picture of where we are with Russia than most people realize."




 10 
 on: Today at 11:27:43 AM 
Started by wbrocks67 - Last post by wbrocks67
I feel like that if they raised more money than Donnie they would have stated already
So it seem like the Biden campaign is being silent on the money raised because they know it would humiliate them if they reveal they have less money than Trump

Yeah, its either one of these imo-
1) they didn't raise as much, so they're hoping to bury it in the news cycle
b) they did raise more, so they're waiting for a specific day to get a positive news cycle

Because I thought the same thing a few months ago for one of them where they waited, and then they actually raised more than I thought. But given it's nearly May 20th, it's pretty weird they haven't said anything.

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