PA-Franklin & Marshall College: Wolf (D) leads Gov. Corbett (R) by almost 2:1 (user search)
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  PA-Franklin & Marshall College: Wolf (D) leads Gov. Corbett (R) by almost 2:1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-Franklin & Marshall College: Wolf (D) leads Gov. Corbett (R) by almost 2:1  (Read 4441 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 31,893
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: July 12, 2014, 12:12:01 AM »

Corbett will need to start running negative TV Ads (see Gray Davis model in 2002) and do it NOW.


The fat lady has already sung, done the encore, etc, this one is over.
Indeed. You can't make up 21 points in four months when your state HATES you. Even if this year is a big republican wave, this will be a bright spot on the map for the democrats. The best Corbett can hope for at this point is to bring it within 10 points, and even that will be tough, which is why I recently moved this to Safe D. *glares at cook political report, who still has this at Toss-Up*
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,893
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2014, 09:13:12 PM »

You know, I've made a lot of jokes about Sabato's ratings, but he's right about this one. Corbett definitely has the same chance of winning as Scott Brown does
Nah, Scott Brown has like a 15% chance of winning, for Corbett it is like 3% at best if the polling and his terrible approval ratings mean anything.
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