AZ-CNN/SSRS Ducey+3

[Zaybay]

This poll was conducted by SSRS/CCN, crosstabs should be posted soon

Doug Ducey*(R)- 49%

David Garcia(D)- 46%

https://www.cnn.com/2018/09/17/politics/cnn-polls-arizona-tennessee-senate/index.html


One interesting thing to note,(the only thing I could find) many voters saw Ducey's appointment as good, and say it was a factor in voting for him.

[Zaybay]

The McCain appointment will likely save Ducey if he wins.

I think so too.

Among Likely Voters

60 % Approve of appointing Kyl
20 % Disapprove of appointing Kyl
13 % No Opinion

Chekmate for Ducey. He will win this.

I actually think that there will be lots of Ticket Splitting this Fall. AZ is heading that way as is potentially TN as well.

You are partially correct. It does seem that voters approve of the decision, and his approval has subsequently increased. The question is, is this a bump, or permanent. Based on what its about, a senatorial appointment, its not likely going to last all the way to Nov. Thats the real question, will this last?