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Defarge
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Posts: 2,588


Political Matrix
E: -3.13, S: -0.72

« on: January 27, 2005, 10:10:25 PM »

Evan Bayh/Bill Richardson

Immediately begin focusing on Iowa, get the man to be charismatic.  By the time midterms roll around, the man should at least be able to keep a crowd interested. 

Approach to economic policy will be mixed with social policy.  Love thy neighbor and whatnot, try to chip away at the Republican advantage  with social conservatives.

By the time primaries come around, here is how I'd try to play it.  Winning Iowa is an absolute must unless Vilsack runs, which he won't.  Second or third in NH would be preferable.  Concede SC to generic southern candidate, whether it be Warner or Edwards.  For Democrats, run on electability and economic issues, with some foreign policy thrown in, given that he's on the foreign relations commmitee.   

Sound out Richardson first, see if he's interested in the VP spot, or if he's running for President.  If he can help with latinos and hispanics, resources get thrown into Arizona and the rest of the southwest.  If RIchardson agrees, the Bayh campaign focues almost exclusively on the midwest and southwest.  If not, the midwest.  Hopefully, the lack of early southern primaries will take edwards or warner out of the running early, making TN and VA vulnerable.  Once Super Tuesday comes around, it's all or nothing.    Ohio, New York and California.  Hillary will win NY.  Bayh wins Ohio.  CA will be a big prize, leaning Hillary but it would be good to snatch one of those two.  At this point, it comes to the South, and hopefully the Southern candidates have all dropped out at this point.  Bayh should win in the South if it's between him and Hillary. 

General election strategy: the midwest almost exclusively.  Indiana, Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota.  Take a stab at Missouri and VA.  With Richardson on the ticket, AZ, CO and NM are added to that list.  But Ohio is the biggest target. 
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