Does Obama open mic comment regarding missile defense seal Bibi's decision? (user search)
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  Does Obama open mic comment regarding missile defense seal Bibi's decision? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Does Obama open mic comment regarding missile defense seal Bibi's decision?  (Read 709 times)
Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
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Posts: 18,212
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« on: March 27, 2012, 11:14:39 AM »

Bibi has to be thinking that if Obama is reelected, US missile defense promises to Israel may become null and void.  So, why would Bibi risk:

1) allowing Iran to have the rest of 2012 to bury its nuke operations
2) the prospects of a less willing partner in Obama in 2013

Seems to me, Bibi has no choice but to strike Iran this summer in order to wage war a) before Iran buries its nukes and b) while Obama still has to worry about the political ramifications of standing by Israel.

I'd say the chances of a Israeli strike on Iran between May-July 2012 is about 75/25.
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Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
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Posts: 18,212
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« Reply #1 on: March 27, 2012, 02:39:09 PM »

lol. I've lost count of how many times jmfcst has predicted some war within a year and then been wrong.

can you provide examples?

also, in the ME, war is not a matter of if, but of when.
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