* Democrats haven't seriously contested the presidential race in Indiana since 1948. At least some of the Republicans' lopsided margins came from the fact that the Democratic vote in Indiana was completely un-mobilized. Indeed, Indiana historically had one of the lowest turnouts during presidential years. It isn't unreasonable to wonder if the real Republican lean in Indiana has historically been somewhat less than R +9; with better Democratic turnout it would probably have been R +5 or R +6.
Play it safe, make that a 7.
Quite a lot of Evangelicals in Indiana too for all that. As in, large numbers for a northern (northeastern/midwestern) state.
Which helps explain why it's the most Republican state there.
Correct, of course.
Check, and check (including even state capitals of similar size and location, with similar Republican traditions and similarly heavy Democratic trends in recent years!)
Not really... unless we're talking north
western Ohio. And, uh, southern (okay, south
western) Michigan.
Also, note (Al spotted that ages ago) that Obama did very well in areas with a lot of (non-new) manufacturing and not a lot of poverty. Indiana has loads of country like that.