Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[LastVoter]

Also in the new poll:

• Blacks are more likely to support gay marriage than whites
• Nobody thinks the Falcons need a new stadium, and don't want the government to help pay for it either.
• Tech fans are more liberal than UGA fans.
• Young people in Georgia are extremely polarized. 45% say gay marriage should be legal, but 46% think Georgia should secede because of Obama's election.
  

I was amazed at the 2008 exit polls; basically it suggested that there isn't that much of a difference between the 18-29 and 65+ crowds:

18-29: 48% Obama, 51% McCain
65+: 46% Obama, 54% McCain

Also, apparently 15% of African-Americans in Georgia want to secede from the union because of President Obama's re-election!

Well you can find black confederate flag flyers using the google search, but 15% of the state?

[Bacon King]

PPP polls always seem to significantly overestimate black support for Republicans and conservative stuff.

[Adam Griffin]

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[Bacon King]

SD 11 could be competitive if a white Democrat from Moultrie with a high local profile runs. Besides that (ostensibly distant) possibility, three safe R special elections, it looks like.

[freepcrusher]

here's a question:

if democrats regain control of the legislature and governorship, will it sort of be like Coleman Young's reign in Detroit which entailed punishing what they saw as the "oppressors"?

[LastVoter]

here's a question:

if democrats regain control of the legislature and governorship, will it sort of be like Coleman Young's reign in Detroit which entailed punishing what they saw as the "oppressors"?

Hopefully.

[Bacon King]

Definitely not. Any hypothetical Democratic legislative majority would be extremely tenuous at best so there's no chance they'd be able to even try anything controversial.

[Adam Griffin]

We're never going to beat Washington with this kind of activity.

Chambliss isn't running again! Our earlier hypothetical discussion in regards to the Governorship and the possible candidates correlates pretty similarly to this potential pick-up. Word on the ground is that the DNC is positioning itself to give Georgia greater consideration in the Party:

• DPG Chair Mike Berlon was elected to serve as the Southern Chair on the DNC Executive Committee
• Sen. Lester Jackson was appointed to serve on the powerful Credentials Committee, which determines membership and participation in the national party

The first one in particular gives me great hope. On the other hand, Tennessee held it last year.

[nolesfan2011]

Appears Congressman Phil Gingrey is jumping into the GOP primary for the senate race and the corrupt Casey Cagle is "polling" on it

[Bacon King]

Former Gov. Perdue isn't running. Congressmen Price, Westmoreland, Kingston, Broun, Gingrey, and Graves are apparently all being talked about as potential candidates, as are Lt. Gov. Cagle and Attorney General Sam Olens. Looking like this race might be crowded as all hell.

In other news, the management of the Falcons is threatening a move to Los Angeles if they don't get their new stadium!

[nolesfan2011]

Breaking: Paul Broun throws his hat in the ring.. announced by his wife at a Gwinnett County dinner of some sort.

So Broun and Gingrey are both in..

[Niemeyerite]

Breaking: Paul Broun throws his hat in the ring.. announced by his wife at a Gwinnett County dinner of some sort.

So Broun and Gingrey are both in..

WONDERFUL NEWS!!

[Adam Griffin]

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http://bettergeorgia.pnstate.org/site/MessageViewer?em_id=74721.0&dlv_id=93181

[Bacon King]

LOL!

I love the irony that Chip Rogers is getting paid more by the state government than the governor is.

[nolesfan2011]

Westmoreland is OUT http://atr.rollcall.com/georgia-westmoreland-wont-run-for-senate/

[Adam Griffin]

This is all happening too quickly.

Kasim Reed bows out of Senate race

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http://www.ajc.com/weblogs/political-insider/2013/feb/04/kasim-reed-lynn-westmoreland-bow-out-senate-race/

[nolesfan2011]

and "Official Senate bid announcement from Paul Broun has been scheduled Wednesday 4pm at the Grand Hyatt in ATL"

This is all happening too quickly.

Kasim Reed bows out of Senate race

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http://www.ajc.com/weblogs/political-insider/2013/feb/04/kasim-reed-lynn-westmoreland-bow-out-senate-race/

[old timey villain]

and "Official Senate bid announcement from Paul Broun has been scheduled Wednesday 4pm at the Grand Hyatt in ATL"

This is all happening too quickly.

Kasim Reed bows out of Senate race

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http://www.ajc.com/weblogs/political-insider/2013/feb/04/kasim-reed-lynn-westmoreland-bow-out-senate-race/

I have to ask, did he really say "I just focused on being mayor" or is that a typo?

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

and "Official Senate bid announcement from Paul Broun has been scheduled Wednesday 4pm at the Grand Hyatt in ATL"

This is all happening too quickly.

Kasim Reed bows out of Senate race

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http://www.ajc.com/weblogs/political-insider/2013/feb/04/kasim-reed-lynn-westmoreland-bow-out-senate-race/

I don't wanna seem racist, but we can't win with a Black Candidate.

[old timey villain]

and "Official Senate bid announcement from Paul Broun has been scheduled Wednesday 4pm at the Grand Hyatt in ATL"

This is all happening too quickly.

Kasim Reed bows out of Senate race

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.ajc.com/weblogs/political-insider/2013/feb/04/kasim-reed-lynn-westmoreland-bow-out-senate-race/

I don't wanna seem racist, but we can't win with a Black Candidate.

Oh, I agree with you, but people here will probably think it sounds racist. Somebody on this forum chided me for ignoring Thurbert Baker's win in 2006, but he's an exception to the rule. In an extremely racially polarized state like Georgia, you can count on enough black people voting for a white guy but you absolutely cannot count on white people to vote for a black guy. It's just the way it is around here.

I think it's a longshot for any dem to win, but a white democrat has a much better shot, as is the case in most states. There aren't that many Barack Obama's around.

[old timey villain]

The one notable exception is Sanford Bishop, who routinely gets a large chunk of the white vote in the most racially polarized area of the state. I wonder why nobody is asking him to run...

[freepcrusher]

The one notable exception is Sanford Bishop, who routinely gets a large chunk of the white vote in the most racially polarized area of the state. I wonder why nobody is asking him to run...

he's from downstate GA where corruption is not necessarily a liability. In a statewide race, his supposed corruption would be fully on display.

[old timey villain]

The one notable exception is Sanford Bishop, who routinely gets a large chunk of the white vote in the most racially polarized area of the state. I wonder why nobody is asking him to run...

he's from downstate GA where corruption is not necessarily a liability. In a statewide race, his supposed corruption would be fully on display.

I'm not saying he would win, I'm just saying that he's a Georgia democrat who gets a lot of crossover support from white conservatives.

Also, corruption isn't much of a liability in the rest of the state either, seeing as how Deal would have had to answer to ethics violations in congress had he not resigned to run for governor. But of course he's a Republican so most Georgians just looked the other way on that.

[Bacon King]

Sanford Bishop gets crossover appeal for the same reason that he gets a pass on his corruption problems- he keeps a low profile and stays out of the limelight. That's why he won't run for the Senate and also why he'd lose if he did.

Also, as for Thurbert Baker, I'll let the 2006 map speak for itself

[Miles]

Despite subpar approvals, Deal leads in actual matchups.

Approval: 36/41

Deal (R)- 46%
Carter (D)- 38%

Deal (R)- 48%
Barrow (D)- 38%

Deal (R)- 48%
Reed (D)- 38%