PA-2016/Quinnipiac: Sen. Toomey (R) up 10 vs. Sestak

[Maxwell]

Cue: five page long post about Nate Silver.

[Maxwell]

Just going to leave this poll from mid-2014 for the Colorado Senate election here...

Yes. Elections change. But like Udall in the summer of 2014, Toomey is ahead at this point in time. That's what polls are for. Doesn't mean Joe Sestak can't run a round-the-globe campaign and whoop Toomey's behind. Similarily, it doesn't Toomey can't run up the margin and commit genocide on Sestak. It just means, right now, Toomey is up 10, which a healthy number of undecideds meaning this is far from over.

[Maxwell]

As much as pbrower may be guilty of only believing in the poll numbers he likes, so is everyone here who is acting like this poll completely negates the PPP one. It's a good poll for Toomey, but let's see if other polls show similar results before concluding that Toomey is in good shape.

Fair enough. But it's between this and PPP, and I'm more likely to trust Quinnipiac at this point.