FL-Sen: Scott almost certainly running (user search)
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  FL-Sen: Scott almost certainly running (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Sen: Scott almost certainly running  (Read 8330 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,619


« on: February 01, 2018, 11:32:51 AM »

If Scott jumps in, this will be Nelson's most competitive race yet. I still rate it Lean D.

This Race poses some interesting Dynamics if Scott runs...

# 1 Will Floridians think about Rick Scott who closely aligned himself with Trump during the 2016 POTUS Race...

or

# 2 Will they think more about Governor Rick Scott who showed some really good Leadership during Crisis (Irma)...

If Scott can localize the Race and not get dragged down by Trump & Congressional Republicans he even might have a chance winning this.

58/31 JA in Florida is pretty darn good for a Governor. The only other GOP Governor who had higher Approvals was Jeb I think.
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2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,619


« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2018, 12:41:52 PM »
« Edited: February 01, 2018, 12:43:44 PM by 2016 »

It’s worth noting Scott had two fairly narrow wins in massive GOP waves. Now, Irma has helped him recover, of course, but I’m still not taking this anywhere other than Lean D.

Scott was "underwater" in his first four years as Governor in Florida YET he still managed to win Re-Election.

His Favorability Rating according to the 2014 Exits was 44/54 closerly mirroring his JA. Everyone knew Crist wasn't going to win because he was a Turncoat. Same with Fitzgerald in Ohio.

Democrats did poorly in Florida in recent years. The only victories they have had were the POTUS Victories by Obama and Nelsons in 2006 & 2012.

The last 3 Elections Bill Nelson has had badly damaged Opponents:
2000 he won against the House Impeachment Man Bill McCollum
2006 he won against Katherine Harris who was damaged goods after the Florida 2000 Recount Fiasco and how she handled it.
2012 Connie Mack was a big Flop

This Race will be a real Test for Nelson if Scott runs. Nelson will not get an "Get Out-of-Jail Free Card Run" this time.
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