Your "Gut feelings" EV map.
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  Your "Gut feelings" EV map.
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Author Topic: Your "Gut feelings" EV map.  (Read 6684 times)
skoods
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« Reply #75 on: July 04, 2008, 02:00:51 PM »

I'd personally like to see a matchup and map if the candidates were DownWithTheLeft and EvilMexicanDictator...
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skoods
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« Reply #76 on: July 04, 2008, 02:11:00 PM »



Obama wins, but the GOP is content with saying F U to the country.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #77 on: July 04, 2008, 02:11:59 PM »

I haven't seen this much red on the maps since......the 2004 elections with John Kerry!

not quite, no.  check the predictions databases from 2004 and compare them to this year.  Bush was also always favored on Intrade and in sportsbooks in 2004 (up until election night, anyway).
That might have had a lot to do with power of incumbency though

so?  States claimed that people were as optimistic about Kerry's chances as they are Obama's when all of the evidence that exists points to the contrary.
The average American and the mainstream media seemed to be just as estatic about Kerry's chances, the oddmakers just didn't think so.  There seems to be quite a difference

there is absolutely no way to substantiate the claim you just made
Just as there is no way to substantiate who the general populous feels about Obama's chance.  We just have hunches to go on.  Oddsmakers don't reflect the general population, they reflect polls, trends, and statistics

you may well be the worst debater ever
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Boris
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« Reply #78 on: July 04, 2008, 02:15:41 PM »

The average American and the mainstream media seemed to be just as estatic about Kerry's chances, the oddmakers just didn't think so.  There seems to be quite a difference

Rasmussen consistently showed Bush leading Kerry by ~ 20 percentage points with their "Who will win the election" polls. Look it up yourself because I'm too lazy/apathetic to do so.
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SPQR
italian-boy
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« Reply #79 on: July 04, 2008, 03:44:01 PM »

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The Mikado
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« Reply #80 on: July 04, 2008, 04:39:12 PM »



I have a pessimistic gut.
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exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
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« Reply #81 on: July 04, 2008, 05:12:05 PM »



Or just bad gas.
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King
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« Reply #82 on: July 04, 2008, 06:55:52 PM »

My gut doesn't have feelings.  It's not a person.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #83 on: July 05, 2008, 10:41:07 AM »

Remember DWTL's "gut feeling" that Santorum would win?
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #84 on: July 05, 2008, 01:00:08 PM »

Turns out that happened to be gas
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CheeseWhiz
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« Reply #85 on: July 05, 2008, 02:27:13 PM »



Obama: 273
McCain: 265

My reasoning for this?  I'd like something different then 2000/2004! Tongue
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tik 🪀✨
ComradeCarter
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« Reply #86 on: July 05, 2008, 03:02:25 PM »



perv smurfs
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