MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread

[Young Conservative]

Kevin Robillard @PoliticoKevin

NEWS: Rep. Ann Wagner is taking another look at entering the #MOSen GOP primary, three Republican sources say, but it's unlikely she actually gets in at this point.

5:05 PM - 2 Feb 2018

https://twitter.com/PoliticoKevin/status/959548392492986368

No way she gets in. She couldn't raise the money or support.

[Pollster]

Wouldn't be too surprising to me if it was Wagner who leaked the Hawley quote.

Getting in now would be terrific strategy: allow Hawley to be branded as gaffe-prone and both the McConnell and Bannon candidate, frame herself as battle-tested, running only on her own inclination without establishment or anti-establishment support (despite her closeness to leadership).

Still doubt she gets in, and if she gets in, she probably loses. Long voting record with a lot of eyebrow-raisers McCaskill can easily exploit.

[UncleSam]

Very unlikely she gets in IMO but even if she does oh able a hard time seeing her winning

[Young Conservative]

Hawley isn't weakened by these comments. People will forget in days, let alone months.

[Greedo punched first]

Wagner already declined.

[Holmes]

Wagner already declined.

That's why we're discussing her alleged reconsideration.

[KingSweden]

Two ways to interpret that.

Either Wagner has seen polling suggesting she’d steamroll Claire (unlikely, but good chance she’d win)

OR

Polling shows Hawley ain’t doing too hot and Wagner is being recruited to save the race (possible)

[Pollster]

Some Mo. residents say robo call says Ann Wagner is running for Senate

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Some Mo. residents say robo call says Ann Wagner is running for Senate

McCaskill denies responsibility
Wagner denies responisbility
The DSCC denies responsibility
The RSCC denies responisbility

Who could it be?

[Hindsight was 2020]

So much for Claire being DOA. Granted she could still lose but Hawley isn't doing as well as he could

[Greedo punched first]

If Wagner runs, could she win the primary?

[Ebsy]

Hawley's campaign is looking shakier than Whitney with a crack pipe.

[KingSweden]

If Wagner runs, could she win the primary?

Oh easily

[KingSweden]

More intrigue within the cabal if MO GOP grandees:

http://amp.kansascity.com/news/local/news-columns-blogs/the-buzz/article198683639.html?__twitter_impression=true

[UWS]

If Wagner runs, could she win the primary?

Oh easily

[Hindsight was 2020]

According to Daily Kos Hawley is not only lagging in fundraising but has burned almost half the money he's rasied already while Claire has both burned only 32% of hers while buring more in literal dollars

[Young Conservative]

According to Daily Kos Hawley is not only lagging in fundraising but has burned almost half the money he's rasied already while Claire has both burned only 32% of hers while buring more in literal dollars

This is a whisper campaign by Claire intended to sow discontent among GOP ranks. It won't work. Also, don't forget the C4G has 2 mill in the bank totally for Hawley from 1 donor (more will come).

[IndustrialJustice]

That 27-year-old who won the Missouri general assembly seat last night ran against Right to Work and on a general pro-labor platform. Is McCaskill doing anything with unions and the upcoming RTW ballot referendum?

[BundouYMB]

According to Daily Kos Hawley is not only lagging in fundraising but has burned almost half the money he's rasied already while Claire has both burned only 32% of hers while buring more in literal dollars

This is a whisper campaign by Claire intended to sow discontent among GOP ranks. It won't work. Also, don't forget the C4G has 2 mill in the bank totally for Hawley from 1 donor (more will come).

LOL what do you mean whisper campaign? They filed FEC reports! You can go see for yourself right now.

[136or142]

Some Mo. residents say robo call says Ann Wagner is running for Senate

https://twitter.com/Politics1com/status/961589164830609408


"I am focused on my work [in Congress] ... I won't be quoting Sherman today" - Cong Ann Wagner (R-MO) to @stltoday when asked of rumors she is reconsidering jumping into US Senate race

[KingSweden]

That 27-year-old who won the Missouri general assembly seat last night ran against Right to Work and on a general pro-labor platform. Is McCaskill doing anything with unions and the upcoming RTW ballot referendum?

She would be dumb not to. I’ve suspected the unions put RTW on the 2018 ballot specifically to help Claire.

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

Really it's a tossup but I'm saying tilt D because I figure McCaskill will end up winning.

[Pollster]

Democrats appear to be utilizing the ballot initiatives very strategically this year - RTW in Missouri, felon voting rights in Florida, automatic voter registration in Nevada, redistricting in Ohio (!), and marijuana initiatives going through the process in multiple states.

I expect to see more of this.

[IndustrialJustice]

That 27-year-old who won the Missouri general assembly seat last night ran against Right to Work and on a general pro-labor platform. Is McCaskill doing anything with unions and the upcoming RTW ballot referendum?

She would be dumb not to. I’ve suspected the unions put RTW on the 2018 ballot specifically to help Claire.

Missouri's Constitution allowed them to delay the law by gathering enough signatures to place it on the ballot. Those unions are fighting for their lives.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Claire McCaskill is probably going to wait until it is closer to the election before making a statement on RTW.