I mean, if this is for a county Democratic party, then Kelly+2 is actually pretty pathetic. Makes you suspect the reality is Kobach up single-digits, though Kelly is probably winning both of the competitive CDs very comfortably, so Davi(d)s should feel good about their odds.
This race, even with a third party, should not even be competitive in the first place. In a state as red (non-Atlas) as Kansas is, you’d think Kobach would be leading by at least double digits. But of course you see this in another way.