Did Bush underperform in Texas? (user search)
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  Did Bush underperform in Texas? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Did Bush underperform in Texas?  (Read 1381 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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Posts: 45,233


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« on: October 12, 2019, 12:03:18 PM »

No not even close , as a party’s ceiling in Presidential Elections in a state are different than Gubernatorial elections . Bush’s performance in Texas were the third and forth best performances in Texas by a Republican ever and if you take into account that Nixon and Reagan won by huge landslides nation wide then it’s really the best and second best .
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,233


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2019, 06:30:47 PM »

No Bush performed solidly in TX. Reagan’s margins are completely irrelevant here because he nearly won a coast-to-coast landslide, whereas W won a squeaker in 2000 and a close race in 2004. Just look at TX’s margins before and after he was President and you’ll see that in 2000 & 2004 he got one of the biggest home state bumps in recent memory. This home state effect turned TX from a Likely R state into essentially a titanium R state on both the local and federal levels until the rise of Donald Trump.

1988: R+12.6
1992: R+3.4
1996: R+4.9
2000: R+21.3
2004: R+22.9
2008: R+11.8
2012: R+15.8
2016: R+9


And before 1994 Texas was just a Lean R state at best and at state level was a Lean D state and Bush basically obliterated the Texas Democratic Party for a generation . I mean Democrats have won state wide in Wyoming , Utah , Idaho , Oklahoma more recently than they have in Texas and that is all due to George W Bush .
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