AZ-PPP: Trump and Clinton Close in AZ (user search)
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  AZ-PPP: Trump and Clinton Close in AZ (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-PPP: Trump and Clinton Close in AZ  (Read 2601 times)
TheDeadFlagBlues
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,987
Canada
« on: May 18, 2016, 07:00:26 PM »

Some things to note:
-outside of Latino Decisions, pollsters are notoriously bad at finding representative samples of Latino voters
-It's very unlikely that the Hispanic electorate will stay somewhat stable. It's likely going to increase by a great deal and these added voters will be more anti-Trump than those who are in the current pool

Arizona is fool's gold if we assume a natural demographic trend wherein the electorate only becomes somewhat more Hispanic. It's not if we expect, as we should, that there will be a very intensive voter registration effort there.
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