UK Election - Results Thread

[Silent Hunter]

Riots in Greece...

[bgwah]

Believe I told Al a few days ago that I wouldn't be surprised in the LibDems underperformed a bit (because of movement back to Tories and Labour).  We'll see whether the exit polls are right or not on this one.

lol @ the way you and Al stroke each others egos... Get a room you two!

[Silent Hunter]

ConservativeHome editor Tim Montgomerie says some Tories expect a better result than the poll.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

They've got about as many technological problems as FOX has right now. 

[Hash]

ConservativeHome editor Tim Montgomerie says some Tories expect a better result than the poll.

Well, obviously. Hacks won't say they expect a lower result.

[Silent Hunter]

Ten minutes to the first result, I'd say...

[© tweed]

anyone know of a US tv results show feed?  on DIRECTv preferably..?

[Hash]

to Alan Johnson: there has been no French referendum on electoral system, unless I'm dense tonight.

[afleitch]

Channel 4 suggest poll % were

Con 38
Lab 28
Lib 23

[Dan the Roman]

If these exit polls are correct, then a Tory government is a certainty. The Liberal Democrats and Labour are only marginally above the Tories in combined seats, and far below a majority at 314. Any government would depend on the SNP and PC which like most regional parties oppose any change to PR. As a consequence the only option for electoral reform would be a deal with the Tories.

[Lief 🗽]

anyone know of a US tv results show feed?  on DIRECTv preferably..?

http://www.c-span.org/Watch/C-SPAN3.aspx

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

ConservativeHome editor Tim Montgomerie says some Tories expect a better result than the poll.

Of course - both the Tories and the Lib Dems do.

[The Man From G.O.P.]

Hey, say 255 is the Labour number and they go to a minority gov't, and assuming they don't try to hash a lib-dem labour alliance.... Brown able to stay in?

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

anyone know of a US tv results show feed?  on DIRECTv preferably..?

http://www.c-span.org/Watch/C-SPAN3.aspx

Or here - and you've got some more options to play with if you don't just want to sit there and watch: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/election2010/liveevent

[afleitch]

Channel 4 suggest poll % were

Con 38
Lab 28
Lib 23

Just to add if true and a 10pt lead can't get us a majority I'm very sad

[Silent Hunter]

Does anyone know what percentage Labour need to get in Houghton and Sunderland South for the exit poll to be on target?

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

7 minutes - 10:49 is when the 1st results should be in.

[Silent Hunter]

Some complaints about people being turned away from polling stations due to queues.

[Linus Van Pelt]

That particular election-night fallacy where the electorate is a person with emotions split as the various groups of voters are (the people want Labour out but didn't trust the Conservatives completely) is certainly in full force...

[yougo1000]

7 minutes - 10:49 is when the 1st results should be in.

BBC says 10:45

[cinyc]

What does St. Silver know about British elections and that stuff?

He knows math, which is all you really need to know to project elections, whether they be in the UK, US or Uzbekistan.  I'm willing to wager Silver will be right and the British models wrong.

[Marokai Backbeat]

Interesting snippets on the BBC's election liveblog once in awhile:

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[afleitch]

5.5% National Swing.

[Linus Van Pelt]

Swingometer being explained!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=31FFTx6AKmU

[Silent Hunter]

Swingometer is out. Exit poll suggests a 5.5% Lab to Con swing. Swing to Conservatives in England is 7%.