OH-SEN (R-1984 Society/Fallon): Brown +14

[Calthrina950]

RCP hasn't put this in yet. Rightwing bias. They're quick to jump on any Reuters poll when they get the chance.

Sometimes I get the impression that you think that the midterm elections this year will see the biggest Democratic wave in decades, whereas, due to polarization, gerrymandering, and other factors, I don't think it will be a large one. RCP is reliable, in my opinion, and they display little bias in their reporting on the races. Their Senatorial and Congressional ratings are reasonable.

[Calthrina950]

RCP hasn't put this in yet. Rightwing bias. They're quick to jump on any Reuters poll when they get the chance.

Sometimes I get the impression that you think that the midterm elections this year will see the biggest Democratic wave in decades, whereas, due to polarization, gerrymandering, and other factors, I don't think it will be a large one. RCP is reliable, in my opinion, and they display little bias in their reporting on the races. Their Senatorial and Congressional ratings are reasonable.

I know I may appear to be over optimistic for the Democrats sometimes, but the head election analyst at RCP, Sean Trende, is a known Republican and RCP skewers right. They moved 11 seats to the Republicans after the Reuters R+6 blip and haven't spoken a word ever since it receded back to D+8.

You are right, in that the crowd which is attracted to RCP is right-leaning. Many of the people who post comments there are Trump supporters, and believe that the Republicans are poised to gain seats this year, which is implausible. And Trende is definitely a Republican. But I still think that their overall ratings are reasonable, even if they are not as precise as we might want them to be.